- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
- Scheduled Date: Wednesday, October 1, 2025
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Detroit (+162) Cleveland (-196)
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The Detroit Tigers (87-75) are heading to Progressive Field on Wednesday to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (88-74) in the second game of the AL Wild Card series. The current betting odds favor Detroit at +162 while Cleveland sits at -196, with a total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup will be Casey Mize and Tanner Bibee.
This season, the Detroit Tigers have achieved a slugging percentage of .413, with 1,454 strikeouts and 511 walks recorded. They’ve amassed 724 RBIs and 1,346 hits, holding a team batting average of .247. The Tigers have hit 244 doubles and 198 home runs, scoring a total of 758 runs with an on-base percentage of .316. Averaging 4.7 runs per game, they rank 11th in the league.
The Tigers pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and a collective WHIP of 1.25. Thus far, they’ve allowed 187 home runs and conceded 691 runs, putting them in 16th place in the league. The Tigers have given up 1,309 hits (roughly 8.2 hits per nine innings) and 630 earned runs, currently maintaining a team ERA of 3.95 (also 16th). Their pitchers have struck out 1,375 batters while walking 485. The team’s FIP stands at 4.05.
Throughout the season, Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 182 times and have had 140 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has recorded 75 holds, ranking 26th in the league, while also achieving a save efficiency of 64.5%. They’ve saved 40 games out of 62 chances, and 28.7% of inherited runners have scored from 258 total. The Tigers have deployed 508 relievers this year.
On defense, the Tigers have completed 4,309 putouts, 1,379 assists, and made 79 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .986, ranking them 14th in MLB. They’ve turned 128 double plays and have converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs, positioning them at 13th in professional baseball.
Casey Mize (23-25 career record) possesses a FIP of 4.13 and has faced 1,869 batters in his MLB journey. He has permitted 446 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and recorded 121 walks. His career ERA is 4.19 (205 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.289. Mize has pitched 440 innings, achieving 365 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Cleveland Guardians have hit 168 home runs this season alongside 621 runs batted in. They’ve tallied 243 doubles, walked 494 times, and have scored 643 runs. Currently, the Guardians’ on-base percentage stands at .296 while their team batting average is .226. With a SLG% of .373, they’re averaging just 3.97 runs per game—ranking 28th in the league. They’ve been struck out 1,344 times (18th) and amassed 1,199 hits this season.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has put together a WHIP of 1.261 and a FIP of 3.95. They rank 11th for the fewest hits allowed, with 1,291 given up this year. The team has yielded 649 runs, with a 3.70 ERA (593 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,381 strikeouts compared to 527 walks), allowing 169 home runs and averaging 4.05 runs per nine innings (6th in the league).
In terms of the bullpen, the Guardians have utilized relievers in 69 save opportunities, converting 47 saves for a save percentage of 68.1%, ranking 6th in MLB. They have had 531 different relievers take to the mound this season. Their bullpen has engaged in 192 situations under high leverage and had 151 instances with runners on base. Their inherited scoring percentage stands at 32.5% from 209 inherited runners. Out of 184 save situations, Cleveland has 112 holds with 22 blown saves this season.
Over the course of 12,978 innings, Cleveland’s defense has a 69.8% efficiency rating (17th in professional baseball). With a fielding percentage of .983, the Guardians rank 27th in the sport and have made 99 errors alongside 1,330 assists and achieved 4,326 putouts over the season.
Tanner Bibee (34-23 career record) has an ERA of 3.62, giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is at 3.43, having faced 2,057 batters during his career. Bibee has allowed 200 earned runs alongside a WHIP of 1.176 and a FIP of 3.6. He has given up 442 hits while racking up 490 strikeouts over 497 innings pitched.
Who do you think will win this exciting MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Detroit (+162)
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