- Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, October 1, 2025
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- TV: ESPN
- Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+102) New York (-122)
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On Wednesday, October 1, 2025, Yankee Stadium will host a thrilling matchup as the New York Yankees (94-68) face off against the Boston Red Sox (89-73) in Game 2 of the ALWC. With the Red Sox at +102 and the Yankees set at -122, the over/under stands at 8. Pitchers Brayan Bello and Carlos Rodon are taking the mound for this exciting showdown.
The Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in the Major League Baseball standings. They have accumulated a total of 786 runs this season while boasting an on-base percentage (OBP) of .324. The Red Sox have recorded 324 doubles and launched 186 home runs. With 748 RBIs and 1,414 hits, their season batting average is .254. Boston’s slugging percentage is .421, but the team has also struck out 1,419 times and earned 518 walks.
This season, the Red Sox have established a team ERA of 3.70, positioning them 4th in the league. Their pitching staff has struck out 1,361 batters while allowing 164 home runs and a total of 676 runs (10th in MLB). With 530 walks given and a FIP of 3.98, Boston’s pitchers have conceded 1,333 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs, yielding a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.57 and a collective WHIP of 1.29.
The Red Sox bullpen has faced 160 situations with runners on base and made 192 high-leverage appearances this season. With 86 holds, ranking 19th in the league, their bullpen has a save percentage of 61.6%, entering 161 save situations. They have recorded 45 saves this season but have blown 28 out of 73 opportunities. Boston’s relief pitchers have inherited 223 base runners, with 33.2% of those scoring. This season, 536 different pitchers have taken the mound for the Red Sox.
In terms of defense, the Red Sox have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs over 13,035 innings, placing them 22nd in MLB. The team has also incurred 4,345 putouts, 1,461 assists, and made 116 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .980, currently the lowest in professional baseball, with 131 double plays completed.
Brayan Bello has pitched 542 innings, tallying 464 strikeouts in his career. With a career win-loss record of 39-36, Bello’s FIP stands at 4.04, having faced 2,338 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.10 (247 earned runs allowed), while his WHIP is 1.362 with 544 hits allowed (9.0 hits/9 innings) and 195 walks given.
The New York Yankees have an on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .251 for the season. They have struck out 1,463 times (3rd in MLB) and garnered 1,371 hits. New York has smashed 274 home runs and amassed 820 RBIs. The Yankees’ slugging percentage is .455, allowing them to score 5.24 runs per game (1st in the league). They have earned 255 doubles alongside 639 walks issued, tallying 849 total runs.
This season, the Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.00. They rank 4th in MLB for total hits allowed, conceding 1,239 hits and 685 runs, leading to an overall team ERA of 3.91 (625 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.00, with 1,440 strikeouts compared to 557 walks, allowing 175 home runs and 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).
The Yankees have encountered 166 save situations, achieving 100 holds but also suffering 21 blown saves. Relief pitchers have been called upon 64 times in save opportunities and have recorded 43 saves. In high-leverage situations, New York’s relievers have appeared 165 times and have pitched with runners on base 167 times. They boast a 67.2% save rate, ranking 7th overall, with 533 pitchers utilized from their bullpen this season.
Defensively, the Yankees hold a 70.8% efficiency over 12,957 innings, ranking 6th in the league. New York has executed 105 double plays and has a .984 fielding percentage (24th in MLB). The team has tallied 1,389 assists, made 94 errors, and recorded 4,319 putouts throughout the current campaign.
Carlos Rodon (career record 93-72) has a 3.74 earned run average and allows 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.95, facing 5,378 opponents in his career. Rodon has given up 532 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.219, and a FIP of 3.7, allowing 1,085 hits and accumulating 1,409 strikeouts in 1,281 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Select Boston (+102)
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