- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday, October 2, 2025
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: ABC
- Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+150) Chicago (-182)
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In an exciting clash of the NL Wild Card series, the Chicago Cubs (92-70) will take on the San Diego Padres (90-72) at Wrigley Field on Wednesday for Game 2. The Padres are listed at +150 on the moneyline while the Cubs are favored at -182. With an over/under set at 9, both teams are bringing their ace pitchers to the mound—Yu Darvish will pitch against Jameson Taillon.
This season, the San Diego Padres have averaged 4.3 runs per game, placing them 18th in the league. They have scored a total of 702 runs, yielding a team on-base percentage of .321. With 254 doubles and 152 home runs, the Padres have also accumulated 663 RBIs from 1,369 hits, resulting in a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage stands at .390, having struck out 1,161 times compared to 510 walks drawn.
The Padres’ pitching staff boasts a solid team ERA of 3.63 (3rd in MLB), complemented by 1,425 strikeouts. They’ve conceded 178 home runs and 621 total runs (2nd in the league). This staff has issued 535 walks, leading to a FIP of 4.02 for the season. San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 1,197 hits this year (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and 578 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and WHIP of 1.21.
The bullpen has entered games with runners on base 185 times and has been leveraged in high-pressure situations 209 times, securing 104 holds (7th in the league). Having saved 75.4% of their chances, the Padres relievers have achieved 49 saves this season but have also squandered 16 of 65 opportunities. Overall, they’ve had 577 pitchers on the mound this year.
With a defensive conversion rate of 71.7% on balls in play, the Padres rank 3rd in professional baseball after logging 12,897 innings. They’ve chalked up 4,299 putouts, 1,234 assists, and 74 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB) and 117 double plays.
Veteran Yu Darvish has pitched 1,778 innings in his illustrious career, striking out 2,075 batters. Darvish, with a career record of 115-93, has a FIP of 3.59, facing 7,305 hitters throughout his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.65, allowing 721 earned runs and recording a WHIP of 1.138 with 1,460 hits allowed (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 563 walks.
The Chicago Cubs have been prolific, notching 223 home runs and 771 RBIs this season. With 267 doubles, they’re drawing 554 walks and have scored 793 runs total. The Cubs have an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .249. Their slugging percentage is .430, averaging 4.90 runs per game (5th in MLB). They’ve struck out 1,277 times (25th in the league) and amassed 1,371 hits.
This season, the Cubs pitch with a WHIP of 1.177 and a FIP of 4.16. Their strikeout ratio stands at 7.90 (1,265 strikeouts vs. 405 walks), ranking 10th in total hits allowed (1,284). With 202 home runs allowed, they give up an average of 4.07 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). So far, the Cubs pitching staff has allowed 649 runs with an ERA of 3.79 (605 earned runs).
In 177 save opportunities, the Cubs have executed 110 holds but have also blown 20 saves. Their relief pitchers have been called upon in 64 save situations, achieving 44 saves. They have pitched 158 times in high leverage scenarios, facing runners on base 101 times. Their inherited runners have scored 33.8% of the time, ranking 4th in the league in save percentage at 68.8%. Chicago has utilized 523 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Cubs have executed 117 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the league). With 1,342 assists and 61 errors, they have recorded 4,305 putouts this season. Their efficiency on defense is 71.9%, placing them 2nd in professional baseball across 12,915 innings.
Jameson Taillon, in his professional career, has given up 1,182 hits while recording 1,073 strikeouts across 1,236 innings pitched. With a career record of 82-60, Taillon has a 3.87 ERA and permits 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded 532 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.194 and FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.65, having faced 5,128 batters throughout his MLB career.
Who do you think will triumph in tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or the moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Chicago (-182)
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