- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Event Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcasting: TBS
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+129) Milwaukee (-157)
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The Chicago Cubs (92-70) are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (97-65) this Saturday at American Family Field for Game 1 of the NLDS. The betting line favors Chicago at +129, while Milwaukee is listed at -157. The total runs over/under stands at 7. The starting pitchers for this exciting matchup will be Colin Rea and Freddy Peralta.
This season, the Cubs have recorded a total of 267 doubles and launched 223 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .430, they have struck out 1,277 times while drawing 554 walks. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, the Chicago Cubs rank 5th in the MLB. They’ve tallied 771 RBIs and accumulated 1,371 hits this year, with a batting average of .249. Chicago has scored 793 runs and posts an on-base percentage of .320.
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Defensively, the Cubs have achieved a team ERA of 3.79, placing them 8th in the league. Their pitching staff has struck out 1,265 hitters, surrendered 202 home runs, and allowed a total of 649 runs (7th in MLB). With 405 walks issued, the team’s FIP stands at 4.16. Cubs pitchers have given up 1,284 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per nine innings) and recorded 605 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.12, while the team’s WHIP is at 1.18.
The Cubs’ bullpen has a save percentage of 68.8%, having entered 177 save situations. Of 142 inherited base runners, 33.8% have scored. Cubs pitchers have faced runners in scoring positions 101 times and have seen 158 high-leverage situations. This season, the Cubs have utilized 523 relief pitchers, collecting 110 holds (3rd in MLB), while converting 44 saves out of 64 attempts.
When balls are put in play, the Cubs convert 71.9% of those into outs, ranking them 2nd in the league. The Boston Red Sox lead with 4,305 putouts, alongside 1,342 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is .989, putting them 4th in baseball, and they’ve executed 117 double plays.
Colin Rea has pitched 605 innings in his MLB career, recording 493 strikeouts. His career ERA is 4.42 (with 297 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.270. He has given up 587 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per nine innings) and issued 182 walks. Rea has a career win-loss record of 37-27 and a FIP of 4.35, having faced 2,566 batters in the majors.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers have hit 166 home runs this season, compiling 750 RBIs. They have achieved 265 doubles, taken 564 walks, and scored 806 runs, showing an on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .258. The Brewers boast a slugging percentage of .403 and average 4.98 runs per game, ranking 3rd in MLB. They’ve struck out 1,266 times (26th in the league) and amassed 1,423 hits.
The Brewers’ pitching staff has allowed 634 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.58 (574 earned runs). They have surrendered 168 home runs and yield 3.96 runs per nine innings (3rd in MLB). Milwaukee’s WHIP stands at 1.228 and they have a FIP of 3.91. They boast a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,432 strikeouts to 534 walks) and rank 3rd in baseball for total hits allowed with 1,237.
In 177 save situations, the Brewers have notched 107 holds and suffered 21 blown saves. In 66 save opportunities, they have successfully converted 45 saves. Their relief pitchers have been called to action in 187 high-leverage situations, with 145 instances of inherited runners. Milwaukee holds a save rate of 68.2%, ranking 5th in the league, with 550 relief appearances this season.
The Milwaukee Brewers have executed 122 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). This season, they have achieved 1,297 assists, committed 76 errors, and completed 4,326 putouts across 12,978 innings, generating a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in baseball).
Freddy Peralta has allowed 694 hits over his MLB career of 930 innings pitched, striking out 1,153 batters. He holds a career record of 70-42, with an ERA of 3.59 and averaging 6.7 hits allowed per nine innings. Peralta has permitted 371 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.133 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.20, having confronted 3,853 opposing batters.
Will tonight’s MLB showdown result in a victory against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Chicago (+129)
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