- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Toronto (+110), Seattle (-120)
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In a thrilling Game 5 of the ALCS, the Seattle Mariners (90-72) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) at T-Mobile Park this Friday. The betting line favors Seattle at -120 while Toronto stands at +110, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Anticipated to take the mound are Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays and Bryan Woo for the Mariners.
This season, the Toronto Blue Jays have been impressive at the plate, averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They’ve accumulated 798 total runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .333. The team has hit 294 doubles and launched 191 home runs. In total, the Blue Jays have 771 RBIs and 1,461 hits, maintaining a batting average of .265. Their slugging percentage stands at .427, with 1,099 strikeouts against 520 walks.
The pitching staff holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 209 home runs and 721 runs this season, ranking 19th in the league. They have allowed 1,313 base hits with a 4.18 team earned run average (ERA) (also 19th in MLB), having struck out 1,430 batters and issued 517 walks, yielding a FIP of 4.27.
This year, Toronto’s relief pitchers have been called upon 178 times with runners on base and have featured in 156 high-pressure situations, achieving 96 holds (10th in the league). Their bullpen boasts a 64.6% save percentage, having converted 42 out of 65 save attempts while blowing 23 opportunities. The relievers inherited 254 base runners, allowing runs to score in 27.6% of cases. The Blue Jays’ relief corps has taken the mound 570 times this season.
Defensively, the Blue Jays have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs over 12,942 innings, placing them 14th overall in the majors. They’ve logged 4,314 putouts, 1,272 assists, and 86 errors, resulting in a .985 fielding percentage, good enough for 18th place in the league. The team has successfully completed 118 double plays.
Kevin Gausman has pitched for 1,911 innings throughout his career, tallying 1,954 strikeouts and holds a 3.81 ERA (810 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.240. He has conceded 1,835 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 535 walks. Gausman, with a career win-loss record of 112-113, has faced 7,986 batters, resulting in a FIP of 3.76.
The Seattle Mariners have hit 238 home runs this season and accumulated 734 RBIs. They’ve recorded 234 doubles and obtained 544 walks, resulting in 766 runs scored. The Mariners’ OBP is .320, and they maintain a batting average of .244 with a SLG% of .420. They average 4.73 runs per game, ranking 10th in the league, but have also struck out 1,446 times this season, the 6th most in the majors, with a total of 1,345 hits.
Seattle’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 3.98, ranking 15th for total hits allowed at 1,331. The Mariners have allowed 694 runs with a 3.87 ERA (629 earned runs). They have an impressive K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts against 454 walks) and given up 192 home runs, allowing 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).
This season, Seattle’s relievers have been called into action for 69 save opportunities, successfully converting 43, giving them a save percentage of 62.3%. They’ve utilized 550 relief pitchers this year and seen their relievers perform in 216 high-pressure scenarios and 132 instances with runners on base. Moreover, with 159 save situations, the Mariners achieved 90 holds but also recorded 26 blown saves.
Seattle’s defense has turned 118 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 7th in MLB. They’ve tallied 1,355 assists, 69 errors, and 4,388 putouts across 13,164 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in the majors).
In his MLB career to date, Bryan Woo has allowed 308 hits and registered 392 strikeouts over 395 innings pitched. He carries a WHIP of 0.982 and a FIP of 3.2, having conceded 141 earned runs. Woo has a K/BB ratio of 4.90 and faced off against 1,574 batters, boasting a career record of 28-15 with a 3.21 ERA while yielding 7.0 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash—will it be against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto (+110)
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