- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Scheduled Date: Monday, October 20, 2025
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Lines: Seattle (+110) Toronto (-120)
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At Rogers Centre, the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) face off against the Seattle Mariners (90-72) this Monday in ALCS Game 7. Betting odds set the Mariners at +110 while the Blue Jays are at -120. The over/under line is established at 7.5 runs, with George Kirby and Shane Bieber set to pitch.
This season, the Seattle Mariners have been averaging 4.7 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. They have tallied a total of 766 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .320. The Mariners have hit 234 doubles and launched 238 home runs, notching up 734 RBIs and 1,345 hits for an overall batting average of .244. Their slugging percentage is .420, but they have also recorded 1,446 strikeouts while drawing 544 walks.
The Mariners possess a team ERA of 3.87, ranking 13th in MLB, with their pitchers achieving 1,426 strikeouts. They have conceded 192 home runs and 694 runs, placing them 17th in league rankings. The group has issued 454 walks and holds a FIP of 3.98 this season. They’ve allowed 1,331 hits (8.2 per nine innings) along with 629 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.22.
The relief pitching corps for the Mariners has featured 550 appearances this season, inheriting 147 base runners with 25.2% of them scoring. They’ve achieved 43 saves out of 69 opportunities, with a save conversion rate of 62.3%. Their pitchers have recorded 90 holds, ranking 13th in MLB, while making 216 appearances in clutch situations.
Defensively, the Mariners have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs over 13,164 innings, positioning them 12th in the league. The squad has registered 4,388 putouts, 1,355 assists, and 69 errors, maintaining a .988 fielding percentage, good for 7th in MLB with 118 double plays.
Pitcher George Kirby has logged 637 innings in his career, accumulating 621 strikeouts. With a win-loss record of 45-34 and a FIP of 3.53, he has faced 2,601 opponents. His career ERA stands at 3.59 (totaling 254 earned runs), and he has a WHIP of 1.113, giving up 616 hits (8.7 per nine innings) along with 93 walks.
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit 191 home runs and recorded 771 RBIs this season. They’ve managed 294 doubles, drawn 520 walks, and scored a total of 798 runs. With an on-base percentage of .333 and a batting average of .265, the Blue Jays hold a slugging percentage of .427 and average 4.93 runs per game, ranking 4th in MLB. They have faced strikeouts 1,099 times (29th in MLB) and secured 1,461 hits.
On the mound, the Blue Jays have surrendered 721 runs and possess a team ERA of 4.18 (giving up 668 earned runs). They have allowed 209 home runs while averaging 4.51 runs against per nine innings (19th in league). The pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 4.27, with a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,430 strikeouts to 517 walks), ranking 14th in MLB with 1,313 hits allowed.
In save situations, Toronto’s relief pitchers have capitalized on 42 saves from 65 opportunities, boasting a save percentage of 64.6%. They have utilized 570 relief pitchers throughout the season. Their bullpen has entered high leverage situations 156 times and faced runners on base 178 occasions, with a rate of 27.6% of inherited runners scoring.
The Blue Jays’ fielding efficiency stands at 70.0% (14th in MLB) over 12,942 innings. They have executed 118 double plays, maintaining an 18th MLB rank in fielding percentage at .985. Additionally, they have logged 1,272 assists, 86 errors, and 4,314 putouts this season.
Shane Bieber has pitched 883 innings throughout his career, yielding 786 hits and achieving 995 strikeouts. He has allowed 318 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.111 and a FIP at 3.20. His K/BB ratio stands at 5.10, and he has encountered 3,574 batters. With a career record of 66-34, his earned run average is 3.24, with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per nine innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Seattle (+110)
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