Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara Pick, 08/08/2026 Insights UFC Vegas 120 Betting Odds

Home » Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara Pick, 08/08/2026 Insights UFC Vegas 120 Betting Odds

  • Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara: Battle at UFC Vegas 120
  • Event Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
  • Location: Meta Apex, Las Vegas

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Get ready for an electrifying clash as Amanda Lemos faces off against Alexia Thainara at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The opening betting lines list Lemos at +195 and Thainara at -235.

Amanda Lemos aims to enhance her current record of 15 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw. At 39 years old, she weighs in at 115 lbs and stands at 5’4″ with a reach of 65 inches. On the other hand, Alexia “Burguesinha” Thainara, aged 30, also measures 5’4″ and weighs 115 lbs, boasting a record of 14 wins and just 1 loss. Thainara has a notable reach of 67 inches. In terms of striking, Lemos averages 2.75 significant strikes per minute, while Thainara boasts a higher output at 4.62 significant strikes per minute. Lemos connects with 55% accuracy on her strikes, compared to Thainara’s 43%. Defensively, Lemos absorbs 3.01 significant strikes per minute, while Thainara takes in 2.46. Lemos defends against 45% of opponent strikes, whereas Thainara has a stronger defense, blocking 59% of incoming blows.

UFC Prediction: Amanda Lemos Best Bets and Odds
UFC Vegas 120 Amanda Lemos Alexia Thainara
Opening Odds +195 -235
Record 15-6-1 14-1-0
Average Fight Time 10:46 12:23
Height 5’4″ 5’4″
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 65″ 67″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.75 4.62
Striking Accuracy 55% 43%

In grappling, Amanda Lemos shows a tendency to grapple less frequently, managing to take opponents down 1.02 times over three rounds. She successfully completes 64% of her takedown attempts and defends against 63% of takedowns. Conversely, Alexia Thainara scores on 57% of her takedown attempts and defends against 85% of her opponents’ attempts. When it comes to submission attempts, Lemos attempts 0.7 submissions every 15 minutes, while Thainara attempts 1.8 submissions in the same period.

Amanda Lemos faced Gillian Robertson in her previous Octagon outing, where she lost by unanimous decision in Round 3. In that fight, Robertson managed to land 64 of her 81 attempted strikes, while Lemos connected with 51 out of 84. Notably, Robertson landed 12 of 26 significant strikes for a 46% accuracy, with 5 of those targeting the head. Lemos, on the other hand, landed 57% of her significant strikes, accounting for 42 of 73 attempts, with 31 aimed at the head. Both fighters demonstrated a tendency to engage at distance, with 83% of Robertson’s strikes and 64% of Lemos’ strikes landing from range.

Recently, Alexia Thainara competed against Bruna Brasil, securing a victory by unanimous decision in Round 3. Brasil was effective with 83% of her significant striking attempts from a distance, while Thainara landed 72% of her distance strikes. Thainara landed on 48% of her total strikes, accumulating 73 out of 150 attempts, and achieving 32 accurate strikes to the head. Brasil managed to land 37 of her 56 significant strike attempts during that bout, with 13 targeting the head. Overall, Thainara attempted 227 strikes and succeeded in landing 137 of them.

Another matchup to watch is Juliana Miller against Ravena Oliveira. Miller enters with a record of 5-4-0, stepping into the Octagon at 30 years old, weighing 125 lbs and standing at 5’7″ with a reach of 66″. Oliveira measures 5’5″ and also weighs 125 lbs, holding a mark of 7-4-1 at age 29. In grappling, Miller executes 2.16 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Oliveira averages 0.88 takedowns every 15 minutes. On striking, Miller connects on 2.65 strikes per minute with a 39% accuracy, while Oliveira lands 30% of her strikes and averages 1.91 strikes per minute.

For fight fans, another eagerly anticipated bout features Quillan Salkilld battling Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot aims to elevate his record to 26-4-0 (1 NC) at 35 years old, weighing 155 lbs and standing at 5’10” with a reach of 70″. Salkilld, at 26 years old, boasts a record of 12-1-0, standing 6’0″ and also weighing 155 lbs with a reach of 75″. In grappling, Gamrot effectively defends against 83% of takedown attempts and successfully completes 38% of his own takedowns. Salkilld finishes 35% of his takedown attempts and defends against 80% of opponent takedowns. Statistically, Gamrot absorbs 2.81 strikes per minute while delivering 3.21, while Salkilld absorbs 3.03 strikes per minute and lands 5.01 strikes per minute.

Who will take home victory in tonight’s pivotal UFC match?

Prediction: Back Amanda Lemos (+195)

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Pick: Amanda Lemos (+195)
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