- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
- Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcasting: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+102), New York (-122)
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The Baltimore Orioles (76-81) are heading to Yankee Stadium on Friday to compete against the New York Yankees (90-67). The current moneyline for this game shows Baltimore at +102 and New York at -122, with the over/under set at 8 runs. Trevor Rogers and Will Warren will be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
As a team, the Baltimore Orioles average 4.4 runs per game, ranking 17th in Major League Baseball. They have racked up 697 total runs and boast an on-base percentage of .314. The Orioles have hit 229 doubles and made 192 home runs this season, accumulating 672 RBIs and 1,224 hits, while maintaining a team batting average of .234. Their slugging percentage stands at .395, with 1,474 strikeouts and 571 walks drawn throughout the season.
The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.11 (ranking 13th in the league) and have struck out 1,269 batters this season. They have allowed 168 home runs and 727 runs overall, placing them 21st in MLB. With 525 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.08 for the season. The Orioles have given up 1,353 hits, averaging 8.7 hits per nine innings, and have allowed 640 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.42, with a combined WHIP of 1.34.
The Orioles’ bullpen has a save rate of 67.2%, entering 150 save situations with a total of 45 successful saves, but also blowing 22 opportunities. They have inherited 221 runners with a scoring rate of 26.2%. This season, Orioles pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 162 times and 169 high-leverage appearances. A total of 528 relief pitchers have taken the mound, with the bullpen achieving 80 holds (20th in the league).
Defensively, the Orioles convert 68.9% of balls in play into outs over 12,612 innings, ranking 27th in MLB. They have totaled 4,204 putouts, 1,341 assists, and 92 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball) with 119 double plays.
Rogers (career record: 34-48) has a FIP of 3.83 and has faced 2,903 batters in his major league career. He has allowed 638 hits, averaging 8.4 hits per nine innings, and issued 234 walks. His earned run average is 3.89, giving up 296 earned runs, and he has a WHIP of 1.273. Over 685 innings pitched, he has recorded 674 strikeouts throughout his professional career.
The New York Yankees showcase a slugging percentage of .408, averaging 4.56 runs per game (9th in the league). They have recorded 218 doubles, drawn 559 walks, and scored a total of 716 runs. The Yankees have hit 217 home runs this season along with 684 RBIs. They rank 6th for strikeouts with 1,439 and have achieved 1,214 hits. As of this season, New York holds a team on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .234.
New York’s pitching staff has surrendered 582 runs, holding a team ERA of 3.22 (502 earned runs). They have allowed 159 home runs, giving up 3.73 runs per nine innings (1st in the league). Their WHIP is set at 1.162, and they have a FIP of 3.69. The K/BB ratio for the pitching staff is 9.00 (1,404 strikeouts vs. 468 walks), ranking 3rd in the league for total hits allowed with 1,165.
In terms of saves, the Yankees rank 17th in the league with a save percentage of 61.6%. They have utilized 516 relief pitchers this year. Their bullpen has been in high-leverage situations 174 times, with 186 instances of runners on base. With 162 save opportunities, they recorded 86 holds and 28 blown saves. In 73 save chances, they secured 45 saves, and their relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.6% from 266 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Yankees have completed 123 double plays, recording a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). This season, they have made 1,366 assists, 92 errors, and achieved 4,216 putouts. Over 12,648 innings, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.3% (5th in MLB).
Warren (career record: 19-17) holds a 4.65 earned run average, allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.72, he has faced 1,483 batters in his career. He has allowed 174 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.412 and a FIP of 4.6. In his MLB career, Warren has allowed 347 hits while achieving 351 strikeouts over 337 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-122) and under 8 runs
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