- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Boston (+103) New York (-124)
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The New York Yankees (93-68) will take on the Boston Red Sox (87-75) at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday for Game 2 of their AL Wild Card series. Boston’s odds are at +103, while New York stands at -124, with an over/under set at 7.5. The anticipated starting pitchers are Sonny Gray and Max Fried.
The Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 23rd in the league. They have scored a total of 689 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .319. The team has recorded 285 doubles and 163 home runs, accumulating 658 RBIs alongside 1,326 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .245. Boston boasts a slugging percentage of .397, has struck out 1,326 times, and walked 517 times.
With a K/BB ratio of 2.98, Boston’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23. They have permitted 153 home runs and allowed 611 runs (3rd in the league), with 1,307 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs. The Red Sox currently have a team ERA of 3.54 (3rd in the league) and have struck out 1,398 batters. The pitching staff has issued 469 walks and has a FIP of 3.66 this season.
Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 76.7%, entering 156 save situations with 46 successful saves and 14 blown opportunities. They have inherited 166 runners, with 28.9% scoring. The bullpen has entered 126 situations with runners on base and has appeared in 149 high-pressure situations. In total, Boston has sent 488 relief pitchers to the mound this year, achieving 94 holds (9th in MLB).
The Red Sox have converted 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs across 12,960 innings, ranking 20th in Major League Baseball. They have a season total of 4,320 putouts, 1,420 assists, and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986, placing them 15th in professional baseball, with 124 double plays executed.
Sonny Gray has pitched for 2,087 innings, accumulating 2,074 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 143-107, his FIP is 3.46, facing 8,635 batters. Gray has an ERA of 3.51, having allowed 814 earned runs and recorded a WHIP of 1.193, alongside 1,823 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and 667 walks.
The New York Yankees possess a team slugging percentage of .409 while averaging 4.59 runs per game, which ranks 8th in the MLB. They have 224 doubles, 572 walks, and 739 runs scored. The Yankees have hit 223 home runs and recorded 706 RBIs. However, they have struck out 1,480 times (6th in MLB) and gathered a total of 1,250 hits, with a team OBP of .311 and a batting average of .235 this season.
New York’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.174 with a FIP of 3.71. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.10 (1,450 strikeouts to 488 walks) and they rank 3rd in total hits allowed at 1,204. The team has allowed 165 home runs and gives up 3.75 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league), resulting in a team ERA of 3.24 (601 runs allowed).
New York’s bullpen has inherited 22.1% of their 271 runners. They have entered 175 times in high-pressure situations and 190 times with runners on base. Out of 162 save situations, they have earned 86 holds but suffered 28 blown saves. Their save percentage is 61.6%, placing them 17th in MLB, with 532 relievers utilized this season.
The Yankees have executed 123 double plays and maintain a .983 fielding percentage (22nd in the majors). They have recorded 1,395 assists, 96 errors, and a total of 4,324 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency rate is 71.1% over 12,972 innings played, positioning them 7th in Major League Baseball.
Throughout his professional career, Max Fried has given up 1,026 hits and has tallied 1,156 strikeouts in 1,191 innings. He has allowed 399 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.138, and has a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.50, and he has faced 4,849 batters overall. Fried holds a career record of 97-46 with a 3.01 ERA and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Boston (+103)
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