- Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
- Line-Point Spread: Dolphins +7.0
- Total Points (Over-Under): 42
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This Sunday, Hard Rock Stadium will host the Miami Dolphins (0-4) as they face off against the Cincinnati Bengals (2-2). Vegas oddsmakers have placed the Bengals as 7-point favorites. The over-under for the game is set at 42 points.
The Cincinnati Bengals enter this matchup sporting a 2-2 record for the season. In their previous outing against the Jacksonville Jaguars, they suffered a narrow defeat, ending with a scoreline of 22-17. Quarterback Joe Burrow completed 39 of 54 passes, totaling 428 yards and throwing for one touchdown but also recorded two interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 86. Running back Chase Brown led the ground game, rushing 9 times for just 10 yards (1.1 yards per attempt). Tee Higgins was a standout in the air with 11 receptions for 157 yards, averaging 14.3 yards per catch. The Bengals rushed a total of 15 times, managing only 23 yards, an average of 1.5 yards per carry across 69 plays that garnered 437 yards overall. The Bengals’ defense allowed 18 completions on 23 passes, accumulating 212 yards with a completion percentage of 78.3%. They also faced difficulties on the ground, conceding 111 rushing yards on 27 attempts, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.
In terms of scoring, the Bengals have averaged 24.3 points per game and rank 31st in the league with a rushing average of just 74.3 yards. Their total offense has accumulated 1,407 yards this season. With 58 first downs and 36 penalties for 273 yards, the Bengals have turned over the ball 5 times (3 interceptions and 2 fumbles). Their scoring breakdown features 7 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, Cincinnati stands 13th in the NFL, allowing 21.3 points per game. Opponents are averaging 4.5 yards per carry against the Bengals, accumulating 99.5 rushing yards per game. On the passing front, Cincinnati has given up 992 yards, placing them 26th in the league, with an average of 248.0 yards allowed per game and a completion rate of 63.8%. Overall, they are yielding an average of 347.5 total yards per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. The defense has allowed 4 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns, totaling 398 rushing yards allowed through the first four games.
The Miami Dolphins are struggling this season with an 0-4 record. In their most recent match, they faced the Minnesota Vikings, suffering a defeat by a score of 15-10. Running back Ollie Gordon rushed 9 times for an impressive 100 yards, averaging 11.1 yards per carry. In the air, Malik Washington stood out, snagging 5 passes for a total of 67 yards (averaging 13.4 yards per reception). Quarterback Malik Willis finished the game with 85 yards, completing 9 of 17 passes, registering a passer rating of 67 without any interceptions, while averaging 5.0 yards per attempt. Miami’s ground defense allowed 31 run attempts for 123 yards (4.0 yards per carry), and their secondary surrendered a 73.0% completion rate, allowing 213 yards on 27 of 37 passing attempts. Overall, Miami ran 35 plays for 198 yards (5.7 yards per play) and averaged 6.7 yards per carry with a total of 121 yards on 18 rushes.
This season, the Miami Dolphins average 267.5 yards per game, ranking 30th in the NFL. They average 104.0 rushing yards per game, totaling 416 rushing yards for the season. The team has committed 32 penalties costing them 230 yards, placing them 9th for penalties in the league. With 654 passing yards, Miami averages just 163.5 yards through the air (30th in the NFL), and their scoring output ranks last at 11.5 points per game.
Defensively, the Dolphins have conceded 7 passing touchdowns and allow an average of 226.5 passing yards per game (19th in the league), along with 436 rushing yards (109.0 yards per game) and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have registered 3 takeaways this season, while giving up a total of 101 points. The Dolphins defense ranks 8th in plays facing from scrimmage at 237, allowing 25.3 points per game, putting them at 21st in the NFL.
Who will cover the spread in this intriguing Bengals-Dolphins NFL matchup?
Recommendation: Bet on the Dolphins +7.0
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