- Matchup: Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: ION
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+5.5)
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In this exciting matchup, the Phoenix Mercury (8-17) will face off against the Connecticut Sun (6-18) at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday night. Phoenix enters the game as 5.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 163.5 points.
The Connecticut Sun previously battled the Portland Fire, securing a narrow victory with a final score of 90-87. In that game, Connecticut demonstrated impressive shooting skills, achieving a 52.2% field goal success rate (35 of 67) while sinking 3 out of their 14 attempts from long range. From the free throw line, they excelled as well, converting 17 of their 20 free throw attempts for a solid 85.0% conversion rate. On the boards, the Sun recorded 31 rebounds, including 11 offensive boards, and dished out 28 assists. Their defense was effective, forcing 15 turnovers and stealing the ball 11 times. Opponents Portland managed to shoot 48.3% from the field, hitting 29 of 60 shots, while also securing 24 rebounds (4 offensive and 20 defensive). Additionally, the Fire earned a commendable 95.2% success rate from the charity stripe, converting 20 of 21 attempts while making 9 of 26 shots from distance.

Aaliyah Edwards was a standout performer in that game, scoring 21 points with an impressive shooting efficiency of 9 for 13. She played for 24 minutes, grabbed 8 rebounds, and added 3 assists to her stat line.
The Connecticut Sun will enter this matchup with a current season record of 6-18. They are scoring an average of 79.7 points per game (ranking 15th in the WNBA) and shooting 43.5% from the field. The team’s three-point shooting has been less effective at 27.6% (120 of 435), and they are hitting 69.1% of free throw attempts. Connecticut averages 33.2 rebounds per game and has totaled 461 assists for the season, positioning them 13th in the league. They commit approximately 13.8 turnovers and 22.8 personal fouls per game. Defensively, the Sun are forcing 14.9 turnovers while giving up 21.0 fouls. They allow their opponents to shoot 45.9% from the field (357 of 504) and surrender 32.7 rebounds a game. They rank 6th in the league for assists surrendered, with 470 given up this season, and allow 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc, ranking 9th in points allowed per game (86.4).
In their last outing, the Phoenix Mercury fell short against the Minnesota Lynx, losing 104-100. The Mercury secured 22 defensive boards alongside 4 offensive rebounds, totaling 26 rebounds for the game. They turned the ball over 14 times and recorded 5 steals. The Lynx committed 21 fouls, allowing the Mercury to take 21 free throws, of which they converted 19 for a 90.5% free throw rate. From three-point range, Phoenix hit 11 of 25 attempts (44.0%) and closed with a shooting performance of 55.6% (35 of 63) from the field. On the defensive end, the Mercury allowed the Lynx to shoot 55.7% (34 of 61) and 41.4% from three-point territory (12 of 29), while permitting 24 total rebounds (4 offensive).
Kahleah Copper made a significant impact for the Mercury, shooting 9 of 14 (64.3%) and contributing 26 points, 3 rebounds, and 1 assist in her 32 minutes on the floor.
As of now, the Mercury hold a record of 8-17 for the season. Offensively, they rank 9th in the WNBA with a field goal percentage of 43.8%. The team has accumulated 2,082 points this season, averaging 83.3 points per game and grabbing 31.6 boards. They assist their teammates 19.3 times per game (11th in the league) and average 13.2 turnovers per match. With 18.1 personal fouls per game, the Mercury boast a free throw percentage of 79.1%. Defensively, they rank 10th in points allowed per game with 87.3, giving up a 37.5% shooting mark from beyond the arc. They have allowed 80.4% free throw shooting by opponents, with averages of 21.0 assists and 33.4 rebounds allowed, ranking 13th and 9th in the league, respectively. The Mercury can force 12.9 turnovers, although they struggle defensively, allowing opponents to shoot 46.6% from the field (12th in the WNBA).
What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?
Prediction: Bet on Phoenix (-5.5) along with the over 163.5 points
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