Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Analysis, 10/28/2026 Prediction and Insights

Home » Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Analysis, 10/28/2026 Prediction and Insights
 

  • Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
  • Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
  • Broadcast: Gulf Coast Sports

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This Wednesday, the Denver Nuggets (1-2) travel to Smoothie King Center as they face off against the winless New Orleans Pelicans (0-3).

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In their previous outing, the Nuggets suffered a defeat against the Warriors, finishing at 134-114. The Nuggets accumulated 17 personal fouls, while their opponents recorded 24. From beyond the arc, Denver was successful on 22 of 44 attempts. Golden State capitalized at the free-throw line, converting 20 of 21 attempts for an impressive 95.2%. They also secured a total of 45 rebounds (13 offensive, 32 defensive) and blocked 6 shots. The Warriors dished out 31 assists and recorded 5 steals. Defensively, Denver allowed a shooting percentage of 54.1% (46 of 85) from their opponent. The Nuggets themselves made 31 assists and forced 18 turnovers, accumulating 13 steals. On the boards, they managed 32 total rebounds, including 10 offensive. At the free-throw line, the Nuggets converted 20 of 23 attempts, achieving an 87.0% success rate. Overall, Denver shot 50.0% from the field (42 of 84) and netted 10 of their 29 three-point attempts.

DeMar DeRozan played a pivotal role in the last game, shooting at 46.7% and contributing 21 points on 7 of 15 shooting. He also recorded 4 rebounds and 2 assists over his 29 minutes on the floor.

Currently, the Nuggets sport a 1-2 record this season. They are averaging 113.0 points per game, ranking 17th in the league, and shooting 45.7% overall. From three-point territory, they are hitting 31.1% (33 of 106) and achieving 76.2% from the free-throw line. As a unit, Denver is securing 45.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 74 assists, placing them 26th in the NBA for team assists. They average 15.3 turnovers and 22.7 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Nuggets are forcing an average of 16.0 turnovers per game and drawing 25.0 fouls. They currently rank 13th in assists allowed, having conceded 86 this season. The Nuggets’ defense allows a field goal percentage of 47.3% (132 of 279) and gives up 47.0 total rebounds per game. Opponents are shooting 35.2% from long range against them, and Denver ranks 23rd in points allowed per game at 121.7.

The Pelicans, in their last game, faced the Nuggets, resulting in a close loss of 141-135. New Orleans allowed Denver to grab 51 rebounds (14 offensive). The Pelicans shot 31.9% from beyond the arc, hitting 15 of 47, and achieved 30 of 39 from the free-throw line (76.9%). Defensively, they permitted Denver a shooting percentage of 48.5% (48 of 99). In contrast, New Orleans shot 50.5% (50 of 99) from the field and made 11 of 38 three-point attempts (28.9%). They were successful in converting 24 of 30 free-throw attempts for 80.0%. The Nuggets committed 28 fouls, giving the Pelicans 30 free-throw opportunities. New Orleans recorded 50 total rebounds, including 36 defensive and 14 offensive boards.

Trey Murphy III was a standout player for New Orleans, scoring 26 points in 37 minutes, along with 4 assists. He shot 58.8% from the field, making 10 of 17 attempts, and secured 6 rebounds.

The Pelicans are looking to improve their record, currently at 0-3 this season. They commit an average of 27.3 fouls per game and are hitting 86.2% from the free-throw line. New Orleans averages 24.7 assists per game (22nd in the league) while also averaging 16.0 turnovers. They have scored 374 points this season, averaging 124.7 points per game and securing 45.3 rebounds per contest. Offensively, the Pelicans rank 7th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 48.0%.

On the defensive end, New Orleans allows 33.0% shooting from three-point range (37 of 112), while opponents are converting 74.3% from the free-throw line. They give up an average of 28.7 assists and 45.3 rebounds per game, ranking 26th and 18th in those categories. Defensively, the Pelicans are struggling, allowing 128.0 points per game, ranking them 29th in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game and have allowed opponents to shoot 49.8% from the field, ranking 28th overall.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NBA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Back the Denver Nuggets

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Pick: Denver Nuggets
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