- Matchup: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) New York (-122)
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The New York Mets (60-74) are set to take on the Houston Astros (67-67) at Citi Field this Saturday. The current betting line places the Astros at +102, while the Mets are positioned at -122. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, with Cristian Javier and Nolan McLean slated as starting pitchers.
The Houston Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking 10th in Major League Baseball. They have secured 613 runs so far, boasting a team on-base percentage of .317. The team has recorded 197 doubles and hit 179 home runs, with a total of 583 RBIs from 1,093 base hits, maintaining a batting average of .242. Houston’s slugging percentage stands at .412, with 1,099 strikeouts and 445 walks throughout the season.
Houston’s pitching staff holds an earned run average of 4.65 this season (25th overall), having recorded 1,172 strikeouts. They have surrendered 177 home runs and 657 runs (also 25th in MLB). The Astros’ pitchers have issued 552 walks, maintaining a FIP of 4.64. They’ve allowed 1,075 hits at an average of 8.1 per 9 innings, with 615 earned runs to their name. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 2.12, while their WHIP stands at 1.37.
In total, the Astros have utilized 435 relief pitchers this year. Those relievers have inherited 181 base runners, with 27.1% of them scoring. The bullpen has accumulated 66 holds (22nd in MLB). Astros pitchers have been called into games with opponents on base 123 times and have appeared in 134 high-leverage scenarios. With 40 saves recorded and 9 blown saves out of 49 opportunities, their save percentage is currently 81.6% over 117 save chances.
Defensively, the Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs across 10,704 innings, ranking 11th in professional baseball. Their total putouts for the season are at 3,568, along with 987 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage of .987 puts them 11th in MLB, having executed 106 double plays.
Javier (36-26 career record) features a FIP of 3.80, having faced 2,402 batters in the majors. He’s allowed 445 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings), granting 238 walks. His career ERA sits at 3.86 (248 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.181 over 578 innings and 636 strikeouts.
The Mets currently boast a team slugging percentage of .389, scoring an average of 4.12 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have hit 167 doubles, accumulated 428 walks, and scored 552 runs. New York has recorded 163 home runs and 528 RBIs. They’ve been struck out 1,136 times (12th in league standings), amassing 1,063 base hits and holding a .306 OBP along with a .236 batting average this season.
New York’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.307, and a FIP of 4.05, ranking 14th in total hits allowed with 1,080. The Mets’ pitchers have yielded 604 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 4.11 (545 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.10 (1,205 strikeouts vs. 479 walks), allowing 148 home runs and giving up 4.56 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).
With a 62.5% save percentage, the Mets rank 16th in MLB. They have utilized 410 relief pitchers this season. Those relievers have been called into high-leverage situations 144 times, and 125 occasions with runners on base. The Mets have encountered 99 save situations, collecting 56 holds and blowing 15 saves. In 40 save chances, they have scored 25 saves and an inherited score percentage of 27.0% from 174 inherited base runners.
Defensively, the Mets have completed 82 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .983 (25th overall). They’ve achieved 1,061 assists, committed 82 errors, and logged 3,581 putouts this season. Over 10,743 innings, they have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in MLB).
So far in his career, McLean has allowed 146 hits and amassed 225 strikeouts in 196 innings. With a 14-9 record, he holds a 2.94 ERA, allowing 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded 64 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.121 and a FIP of 2.9, along with a K/BB ratio of 3.04 against 806 career batters faced.
Who will emerge victorious in today’s MLB showdown—will it be against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Opt for New York (-122)
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