- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Houston (+106) vs New York (-128)
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On Tuesday night, Yankee Stadium will host an exciting matchup between the New York Yankees (74-56) and the Houston Astros (65-66). Currently, the odds favor Houston at +106, while New York is set at -128. The over/under for this game is set at 8.5 runs, with Ethan Pecko and Will Warren expected to be the starting pitchers.
The Houston Astros have a slugging percentage of .410 and have been struck out 1,072 times, accumulating 436 walks. They hold 567 RBIs and have achieved 1,066 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .242. As a team, they’ve hit 194 doubles and launched 173 home runs, scoring a total of 596 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .317. Averaging 4.6 runs per game places the Astros 12th in Major League Baseball.
The Astros have recorded a team ERA of 4.63 this season (25th in the league), with their pitchers striking out 1,149 batters. They’ve allowed 173 home runs and a total of 640 runs (also 25th in MLB). Houston pitchers have walked 540 batters, and the team’s Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) sits at 4.64. With 1,047 hits allowed (8.1 per 9 innings) and 599 earned runs allowed, their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.13, and the team’s WHIP stands at 1.36.
The Astros’ bullpen boasts a save percentage of 81.3%, having entered 114 save situations so far. They have secured 39 saves while failing on 9 of 48 attempts, with 174 inherited runners, 27.6% of whom have crossed the plate. Their relievers have faced runners on 118 occasions and entered 129 high leverage situations this season. A total of 425 relief appearances have come from the Astros’ bullpen, resulting in 64 holds (22nd in MLB).
Defensively, the Astros have recorded 3,490 putouts, 965 assists, and 59 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 11th in professional baseball. They’ve achieved 104 double plays and converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs over 10,470 innings, also placing them 10th in MLB.
Pecko (0-0 career record) has a FIP of 5.54 and has faced 18 batters in his major league career. He has given up 3 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 3 walks. His ERA currently sits at 5.63 (with 2 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.875, striking out 4 batters in his 3 innings pitched.
The New York Yankees have an OBP of .309 along with a team batting average of .230 this season. They have struck out 1,203 times (4th in the league) and logged 985 hits. The Yankees have launched 179 home runs and accumulated 552 RBIs. With a team slugging percentage of .407, they calculate an average of 4.45 runs per game (17th in MLB). They’ve also recorded 192 doubles, received 473 walks, and scored a total of 579 runs.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 479 runs this season, with an impressive ERA of 3.20 (surrendering just 413 earned runs). They’ve given up 127 home runs and only allow 3.71 runs per 9 innings, leading MLB. Their WHIP is 1.174, and they hold a FIP of 3.64 for the season. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.00 (1,164 strikeouts vs. 395 walks), they rank 3rd in limited hits allowed, totaling 968.
With 135 save opportunities, the Yankees have tallied 72 holds and suffered 23 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 62 save situations, securing 39 saves. New York’s bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 21.0% from 224 runners, appearing in 152 high leverage situations and 155 times with runners on base. Their 62.9% save rate ranks them 17th in the league, with 435 bullpen pitchers utilized this season.
Defensively, the Yankees have an efficiency of 71.1% (6th in baseball) across 10,455 innings. They’ve achieved 101 double plays this season while maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB), with 1,141 assists, 71 errors, and 3,485 putouts.
In his MLB career, Warren has surrendered 319 hits while notching 322 strikeouts over 307 innings. He has allowed 166 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.423 and a FIP of 4.80. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.73, facing 1,356 hitters in his time on the mound. With a career record of 17-17, Warren holds an ERA of 4.87 and permits 9.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will take the victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York (-128) and the under on 8.5 runs
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