Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry: UFC 330 Odds and Predictions for 08/15/2026

Home » Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry: UFC 330 Odds and Predictions for 08/15/2026

  • UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry Showdown
  • Event Details
  • Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026

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The highly anticipated clash between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry is set for UFC 330 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. The betting lines currently favor Makhachev at -380, while Garry stands at +303.

Islam Makhachev aims to improve his impressive record of 28 wins and 1 loss. At 34 years old, he weighs in at 170 lbs and has a height of 5’10”. As a southpaw, he boasts a reach of 70 inches. Conversely, Ian “The Future” Machado Garry, who is 28 years old, stands tall at 6’3″ with the same weight of 170 lbs. His reach extends to 74 inches, and he is looking to enhance his own record of 17 wins against 1 loss. In terms of striking, Makhachev lands an average of 2.45 significant strikes per minute, while Garry connects with an impressive 4.78 strikes per minute. Makhachev’s striking accuracy stands at 58%, and Garry’s at 54%. Defensively, Makhachev absorbs 1.45 significant strikes per minute, while Garry allows for 2.86. Makhachev successfully defends against 61% of significant strikes aimed at him, whereas Garry defends against 52% of incoming strikes.

Islam Makhachev Predictions and Betting Odds
UFC 330 Stats Islam Makhachev Ian Machado Garry
Opening Odds -380 +303
Record 28-1-0 17-1-0
Average Fight Time 11:01 14:45
Height 5’10” 6’3″
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 70″ 74″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.45 4.78
Striking Accuracy 58% 54%

On the grappling front, Islam Makhachev excels with an average of 3.10 takedowns per three rounds, successfully executing 56% of his attempts, while also defending against 91% of all takedowns attempted against him. Ian Machado Garry, on the other hand, manages a takedown success rate of 31% and defends against 80% of takedowns from his opponents. In submission attempts, Makhachev averages 1.0 submission attempt every 15 minutes, while Garry goes for 0.4 submissions in the same timeframe.

In his previous match, Islam Makhachev faced Jack Della Maddalena and secured a unanimous decision victory in round 5. Maddalena landed 30 of 74 total strikes, while Makhachev dominated with 140 of 188 total strikes. Regarding significant strikes, Maddalena connected on 18 of 61, equating to a striking percentage of 29%. He landed just 10 of 45 significant strikes aimed at the head. Makhachev achieved a remarkable 52% striking accuracy, landing 30 of 57 significant strikes, including 14 to the head. Furthermore, 77% of Maddalena’s and 66% of Makhachev’s significant strikes occurred at distance.

In Ian Machado Garry’s last fight, he encountered Belal Muhammad, winning by unanimous decision in round 3. Muhammad managed to land 92% of his significant strikes at distance, while Garry connected on 91%. Garry achieved a rate of 51% in significant strikes, landing 72 of 141 total attempts, while Muhammad hit 56 of 139 significant strikes. When looking at the total strikes attempted, Garry landed 96 of 167, while Muhammad landed 97 of 197.

Additional Fights to Watch

Another exciting matchup features Mansur Abdul-Malik squaring off against Dustin Stoltzfus. Abdul-Malik enters with a record of 9-1-1, weighing 185 lbs and standing at 6’2″, with a reach of 80 inches. Stoltzfus, with a record of 16-8-0, weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6’0″ tall, extending his reach to 75 inches. In terms of grappling, Abdul-Malik averages 1.65 takedowns every 15 minutes, whereas Stoltzfus scores 2.08 takedowns over three rounds. Striking statistics show Abdul-Malik landing 3.28 strikes per minute with a 44% success rate, while Stoltzfus connects on 3.30 strikes per minute at a 45% efficiency.

Another exciting contest to look forward to is when Esteban Ribovics faces Edson Barboza. Barboza, known for his career record of 24-14-0, is 40 years old, weighing 155 lbs and standing at 5’11” with a 75-inch reach. Ribovics enters the octagon with a record of 15-3-0, weighing 155 lbs as well and measuring 5’10” with a reach of 69 inches. In terms of takedowns, Barboza successfully stops 73% of takedown attempts against him and completes 50% of his own, whereas Ribovics finishes 66% of his takedowns while defending against the same percentage from opponents. Striking insights show Barboza absorbing 4.68 strikes per minute while landing 4.14, while Ribovics is averaging 5.83 strikes absorbed and 7.27 strikes landed per minute.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s UFC event?

Prediction: Back Islam Makhachev (-380)

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Pick: Islam Makhachev (-380)
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