Lille vs Brest Analysis, 10/17/2026 Soccer Picks, Tips, and Odds

• Match: Lille vs Brest
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Venue: Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France
• Broadcast: Fubo TV, Fanatiz

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The Pirates (1-2-2) are headed to Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille, France, this Saturday to face Lille (3-1-1). Lille OSC is favored at -210, while The Pirates are opening at +172. The over/under is set at 3. Goalkeepers likely to start are Berke Ozer for Lille and Egil Selvik for Brest.

LOSC Lille has conceded just 4 goals, averaging 0.80 goals allowed per 90 minutes. Opponents have taken 23 shots on target against them. Lille boasts 4 clean sheets this season, translating to a remarkable 80.0% clean sheet rate. The team has received 8 yellow cards thus far. Currently, Lille averages 2.00 points per match (totaling 10 points), ranking 8th among the top 5 leagues with 7 assists. The Dogues stand at 15th in expected goals (xG) with 18.6, while their expected goals against (xGA) is 21.0. Lille’s goal differential is +4, netting 8 goals while conceding 4. They have registered 19 saves this season, boasting a commendable save percentage of 82.6%.

The Pirates are averaging 1.0 point per match with a total of 9 assists. Brest ranks 10th in goals conceded with 9, and their goal differential is -2. Stade Brestois 29 has accrued 7 yellow cards this season. Moreover, they hold a save percentage of 65.4% (26 shots on target faced), currently sitting at 11th in the Big 5 leagues with 5 points. Their goals conceded per 90 minutes stands at 1.80 along with 17 total saves. Brest has scored 7 goals, with their xG for the season at 22.3.

Berke Ozer is set to guard the goal for Lille. Throughout his professional career, Ozer has played for 13,541 minutes and secured 288 saves. With a career record of 66-35-50, he has maintained 48 clean sheets, resulting in a shutout rate of 31.9%. Ozer has faced 421 shots during 151 starts, allowing 132 goals, with an average of 0.88 goals allowed per 90 minutes and a save percentage of 68.4%.

For Brest, Egil Selvik will take his position in goal. Over his career, Selvik has conceded 257 goals while achieving 591 saves in 183 starts. He has an average of 1.42 goals allowed per 90 minutes and a career record of 53-48-82. With a save percentage of 69.9% and a clean sheet rate of 23.1%, Selvik has registered 42 clean sheets and defended against 846 shots across 16,339 minutes throughout his profession.

Olivier Giroud is a pivotal player for Lille who can influence the outcome of the match significantly. He has contributed 91 assists and accumulated 601 career points, scoring 255 goals in 43,723 minutes. Giroud has started in 479 matches, averaging 0.52 goals per 90 minutes.

Brest’s Ludovic Ajorque poses a continuous threat to opposing defenses. The French forward has played for 25,486 minutes, netting 102 goals with an average of 0.36 goals per 90 minutes. He has started in 291 matches and has accumulated 246 career points, assisting on 42 occasions.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Lille (+172)