Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr Prediction and Odds for UFC Edmonton on 10/17/2026

Home » Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr Prediction and Odds for UFC Edmonton on 10/17/2026

  • Mandel Nallo Takes on Nate Landwehr
  • UFC Edmonton
  • Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
  • Saturday, October 17, 2026

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Mandel Nallo is set to compete against Nate Landwehr at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The initial betting line reveals Nallo favored at -265, while Landwehr is listed at +219.

Mandel “Mango” Nallo has a professional MMA record of 14 wins and 4 losses (1 No Contest). At 37 years old, he fights in the lightweight division at 155 lbs and stands at 6’0″ with a reach of 75″. In contrast, Nate “The Train” Landwehr, who is 38, measures 5’9″ and maintains a record of 18 wins and 8 losses, also competing at 155 lbs and possessing a reach of 72″. In terms of striking, Nallo averages an impressive 8.26 significant strikes per minute, compared to Landwehr’s 5.55. Nallo’s striking accuracy stands at 58%, while Landwehr has a 45% accuracy rate. Both fighters have notable defensive stats; Nallo allows 5.03 significant strikes per minute and defends against 54% of the attempted strikes, while Landwehr absorbs 5.96 significant strikes with a 51% defense rate.

UFC predictions, Mandel Nallo odds and picks
UFC Edmonton Mandel Nallo Nate Landwehr
Opening Odds -265 +219
Record 14-4-0 (1 NC) 18-8-0
Average Fight Time 2:47 9:21
Height 6’0″ 5’9″
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 75″ 72″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.26 5.55
Striking Accuracy 58% 45%

On the grappling front, Mandel Nallo has a lower wrestling proficiency, averaging only 0.40 takedowns per 15 minutes, successfully executing takedowns 15% of the time and defending against 85% of attempts. On the contrary, Landwehr completes 41% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends 71% of incoming takedowns. In submission attempts, Nallo seeks submissions at a rate of 0.4 per 15 minutes, while Landwehr averages 0.7 submissions across three rounds.

In his last fight, Mandel Nallo faced Jai Herbert, where he suffered a defeat via knockout in round 1. Herbert executed 30 of 43 total strikes, while Nallo managed to land 16 of 31. In terms of significant strikes, Herbert connected on 19 out of 28 for an accuracy of 67%. He targeted the head effectively, landing 18 of 27 significant strikes. Nallo’s performance saw him landing 51% of his significant strikes, managing to hit 16 out of 31 with 13 of those directed at the head, while 36% of Herbert’s significant strikes were landed at a distance.

In Nate Landwehr’s most recent Octagon outing, he faced off against Cub Swanson, unfortunately losing by knockout in the first round. Swanson landed a staggering 94% of his significant strikes from distance, while Landwehr achieved a 100% success rate with his significant strikes attempted from a distance. Landwehr scored on 50% of his significant strike attempts, hitting 15 of 30, while landing 9 out of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. Swanson’s output was impressive, landing 37 of 49 significant strikes, with 23 aimed at the head. Overall, Swanson’s total strikes were 40 of 52, compared to Landwehr’s 15 out of 30 total strikes.

Key Fights to Watch on the Card

One of the highlight bouts includes Tanner Boser facing Jhonata Diniz. Boser, with a record of 22 wins, 11 losses, and 1 no contest, fights at 245 lbs and stands 6’2″ tall, boasting a reach of 75″. Diniz, measuring 6’4″ and weighing 254 lbs, enters with a record of 9 wins and 2 losses. In grappling metrics, Boser averages 0.90 takedowns per three rounds, while Diniz averages 0.70. As for striking, Boser lands 4.82 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 53%, while Diniz strikes at an accuracy of 56% with 3.89 strikes landed per minute.

For an exciting matchup, keep an eye on Nick Galanti as he goes up against Julien Leblanc. Leblanc, currently at 10 wins and 3 losses, weighs in at 185 lbs, standing 6’2″ with a reach of 74″. Galanti, at 6’1″ and also 185 lbs, enters with an impressive record of 8 wins and 1 loss. Analyzing their wrestling skills, Leblanc achieves a takedown success rate of 15%, preventing 15% of attempts against him. Meanwhile, Galanti has the same takedown success rate of 15% and also stops 15% of opposing takedown attempts. In terms of striking, Leblanc gets hit with 2.96 strikes per minute while landing just 1.69, whereas Galanti’s striking output is a whopping 13.71 per minute but absorbs only 1.71.

Who will prevail in tonight’s UFC bout?

Prediction: Bet on Nate Landwehr (+219)

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Pick: Nate Landwehr (+219)
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