- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Scheduled Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Miami (+102) Philadelphia (-122)
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On Monday, the Philadelphia Phillies (66-58) welcome the Miami Marlins (63-61) to Citizens Bank Park. The Marlins start as underdogs at +102, while the Phillies open at -122. The game’s total is set at 9 runs, with the expected pitchers being Janson Junk and Cristopher Sanchez.
This season, the Miami Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking 18th in the league. They have produced 543 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .326. The Marlins have also recorded 199 doubles and hit 126 home runs. They have 521 runs batted in and accumulated 1,028 hits this year, resulting in a batting average of .250. With a slugging percentage of .403, they have struck out 1,009 times while drawing 414 walks.
The Marlins possess an earned run average (ERA) of 3.95 this season, placing them 10th in the league. Their pitching staff has recorded 1,037 strikeouts and allowed 126 home runs, with a total of 529 runs given up (also 10th in MLB). They have walked 409 batters, with a collective FIP of 3.98. Miami has conceded 945 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 477 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.24.
Throughout the season, the Marlins have used 395 relievers. Relief pitchers have inherited 151 base runners, with 23.2% crossing the plate. The bullpen has amassed 68 holds (12th in the league), entered games with players on base 103 times, and have 113 high-leverage appearances. They have completed 29 saves out of 44 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 65.9% across 114 save situations.
This year, the Miami Marlins have recorded a total of 3,264 putouts, 1,020 assists, and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage currently stands at .981, ranking them 29th in Major League Baseball, while completing 90 double plays. They have converted 70.6% of in-play balls into outs over 9,792 innings, placing them 10th in the majors.
Janson Junk has pitched for 237 innings in his career, amassing 175 strikeouts. He currently holds an ERA of 4.70 (124 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.315. He has surrendered 264 hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 48 free passes. Junk maintains a career record of 13-14 with a FIP of 4.63, having faced 1,009 batters in the majors.
On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies have a slugging percentage of .401 and an average of 4.44 runs per game, ranking 17th in the league. They have recorded 175 doubles, 396 walks, and 551 total runs. The Phillies have 153 home runs and 532 RBIs, striking out 1,062 times (9th in the league) with 993 hits. Their OBP sits at .310, along with a team batting average of .239.
The Phillies’ pitching staff has surrendered 544 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.15 (507 earned runs). They have allowed 145 home runs and give up 4.45 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 1.305, with a FIP of 3.75. They currently hold a K/BB ratio of 10.00 (1,222 strikeouts vs. 377 walks) and rank 24th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,058.
Philadelphia’s relievers have had 98 save situations this season, achieving 49 holds but also recording 16 blown saves. Relief pitchers have entered 47 save chances, securing 31 saves. The Phillies’ relief unit has a 36.9% inherited score percentage from 130 inherited runners, with 115 high-leverage appearances and 97 instances with runners on base. They rank 14th in MLB for save percentage at 66.0%, deploying 415 relievers this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies have managed 74 double plays with a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 16th in the league. Their total for the season includes 1,011 assists, 62 errors, and 3,299 putouts over 9,897 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (29th in MLB).
Sanchez comes into this matchup with a career record of 45-25 and an ERA of 3.09, allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 4.23 after facing 2,839 opposing hitters. He has given up 237 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.172 and a FIP of 3.0. Throughout his career, Sanchez has permitted 646 hits along with 690 strikeouts in 690 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Miami (+102)
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