- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
- Broadcast: USA Network
- Betting Line: Minnesota (-7.5)
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The stage is set at Mohegan Sun Arena as the underperforming Connecticut Sun (5-16) prepare to face off against the formidable Minnesota Lynx (15-6) this Wednesday. The Lynx enter the contest as 7.5-point favorites, with the over/under line at 167.5.
In their last encounter, the Lynx suffered a narrow defeat at the hands of the Connecticut Sun, ending the game at 90-89. Minnesota showcased a field goal accuracy of 43.7%, hitting 31 of 71 shots and making 10 out of 30 from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Lynx excelled, converting 17 of 19 attempts for an impressive 89.5% success rate. On the boards, they secured a total of 32 rebounds, including 8 offensive rebounds. Additionally, they recorded 24 assists while forcing 12 turnovers from their opponents and snagging 5 steals. Defensively, Minnesota allowed a shooting percentage of 50.0%, conceding 33 out of 66 attempts. Meanwhile, Connecticut managed 7 assists and earned 11 steals in this matchup, alongside 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and 6 blocks. At the free-throw line, Connecticut achieved a success rate of 58.6%, converting 17 of 29 attempts, while from three-point range, they made 7 of 15 shots.
Star player Kayla McBride delivered an impressive performance, scoring 28 points on 10 of 19 shooting. With 38 minutes of playtime, she also contributed with 3 rebounds and 2 assists, achieving a field-goal percentage of 52.6%.
The Lynx hold a solid record of 15-6 this season. They boast an average of 90.2 points per game (2nd in the league) while shooting at 48.0% from the field. From beyond the arc, they are converting 36.6% of their attempts (167 of 456) and are hitting 79.8% from the free-throw line. Minnesota averages 36.4 rebounds per game and has recorded 450 assists this season, ranking them 3rd in the league for team assists. They average 13.3 turnovers per game and commit 19.4 fouls. On the defensive end, the Lynx force opponents to turn the ball over 14.5 times a game while fouling 17.5 times. They hold their rivals to 31.4% shooting from three-point range and rank 2nd in points allowed per game (80.8). The Minnesota defense permits a field-goal percentage of 40.7% (305 out of 367) and averages 32.6 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 6th in the WNBA for assists given up with 405 so far this season.
In their previous encounter, the Connecticut Sun emerged victorious over the Lynx with a score of 90-89. They secured 23 defensive and 11 offensive rebounds, totaling 34 rebounds for the game. Connecticut committed 14 turnovers and recorded 7 steals. The Lynx committed 25 fouls, sending the Sun to the free-throw line for 29 attempts, of which they converted 17 for a rate of 58.6%. From three-point distance, Connecticut was effective, making 7 of their 15 attempts (46.7%). In total, the Sun shot 33 out of 66 from the floor, resulting in a shooting percentage of 50.0%. In contrast, Minnesota made 31 of 71 attempts, achieving a field-goal percentage of 43.7%. The Lynx completed 10 of 30 from beyond the arc (33.3%) and went a perfect 17 out of 19 from the free-throw line (89.5%). Regarding rebounding, Connecticut allowed Minnesota to collect a total of 31 boards (5 offensive).
Brittney Griner played a pivotal role for the Sun, shooting 11 of 14 for an impressive 78.6% field-goal percentage and contributing 10 rebounds. Griner tallied 29 points during her 34 minutes on the court and registered 3 assists.
The Connecticut Sun currently hold a record of 5-16 for the season. They average 23.1 personal fouls per game and record a free-throw shooting percentage of 67.6%. As a team, they assist 18.8 times per game (14th in the league) and average 13.3 turnovers. Connecticut has scored 1,679 points this season, averaging 80.0 per game, with a field-goal percentage of 43.3% (12th in the league). Defensively, the Sun rank 10th in the WNBA for points allowed, averaging 86.7 per game. They permit an average of 19.6 assists and 33.2 rebounds, ranking them 7th in both categories. Opponents can shoot 35.2% from beyond the arc (180 of 512) and 77.9% from the free-throw line against them. Connecticut manages to force 14.9 turnovers per game while allowing teams to shoot 45.5% from the field (9th in the league).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA showdown against the spread?
Prediction: Back Connecticut (+7.5)
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