- Matchup: Monza vs Cagliari
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Venue: U-Power Stadium, Monza, Italy
- Broadcast: Paramount+, DAZN
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On Saturday, Monza (1-1-3) will face off against Cagliari (4-0-1) at the U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy. The White and Reds are listed at +162, while Cagliari sits at -196. The total goals over/under is set at 3. The anticipated goalkeepers for the match are Noel Tornqvist for Monza and Elia Caprile for Cagliari.
A.C. Monza has conceded 15 goals, averaging 3.00 goals against per 90 minutes, with opponents recording 31 shots on target. They are yet to achieve a clean sheet for the season and have accumulated 10 yellow cards and 1 red card thus far. Monza’s average points per game stand at 0.80 (4 points total), placing them 8th in the Big 5 leagues with 7 assists. The team ranks 6th in expected goals (xG) with 21.6 and has an expected goals against (xGA) of 22.6. Their goal difference is -7, having scored 8 goals while conceding 15. This season, Monza has made 16 saves, achieving a save rate of 51.6%.
The Islanders are currently averaging 2.4 points per match, contributing 4 assists to their tally. Cagliari leads the league in goals conceded, with only 3, and they own a goal differential of 2. Cagliari Calcio boasts a shutout percentage of 60.0% this season and has received 7 yellow cards. This year, Cagliari has an impressive save percentage of 90.3% after facing 31 shots on target, and they are ranked 4th in the Big 5 leagues with 12 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes is notably low at 0.60, and they have achieved 3 shutouts alongside 27 saves. Cagliari has netted 5 goals, with their expected goals standing at 20.5.
Monza will rely on Noel Tornqvist as their primary goalkeeper. Tornqvist has accumulated 8,545 minutes in his career, registering 241 saves to date. He has a goals against average of 0.87 (totaling 83 goals allowed) and a save percentage of 74.4%. The Swedish goalkeeper has faced 324 shots in 96 starts, boasting a career record of 51-20-25 with 31 shutouts, resulting in a 32.7% shutout rate.
Elia Caprile will guard the net for Cagliari. Over his career, Caprile has conceded 147 goals while making 401 saves in 132 starts. He has recorded 39 shutouts while facing 547 shots across 11,935 minutes of play. With a save percentage of 73.3% and a shutout rate of 29.4%, he has an average of 1.11 goals against per 90 minutes, bringing a career record of 49-37-46.
For Monza, Patrick Cutrone is a pivotal player to watch. The Italian forward has scored 72 goals in 17,356 minutes and has started in 191 matches throughout his career, averaging 0.37 goals per 90 minutes. He has also contributed 20 assists, amassing a total of 164 points so far.
Cagliari features M’Bala Nzola, a forward that the Monza defenders will need to keep an eye on. The Angolan attacker has 14,545 minutes of experience and has netted 56 goals. His goals per 90 statistic is at 0.35, having been part of the starting lineup in 149 matches to date. Nzola has accumulated 126 career points and has assisted in 14 goals.
Who will emerge victorious in this soccer clash against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Monza (-196)
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