New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings Analysis, 7/16/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds

Home » New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings Analysis, 7/16/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
  • Broadcast: Prime Video
  • Betting Odds: New York (+1.5)

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The New York Liberty (13-11) will clash with the Dallas Wings (16-8) at College Park Center this Thursday. The current betting line has the Wings favored by 1.5 points, with an over/under total set at 175.5.

In their most recent outing, the New York Liberty faced the Toronto Tempo, suffering a narrow defeat with a score of 93-91. The Liberty posted a field goal percentage of 43.4%, converting 33 out of 76 attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 5 of 26. They excelled at the free throw line, making 20 of 22 attempts for a stellar 90.9% success rate. Rebounding was solid, as they gathered 33 total boards, including 10 offensive rebounds. The team also recorded 16 assists while forcing their opponents into 23 turnovers and collecting 11 steals. On the defensive end, New York allowed Toronto to shoot 51.5% from the floor, giving up 34 baskets on 66 attempts. Toronto also had a productive night at the charity stripe, achieving 88.9% from the line by making 16 out of 18 tries and shooting 37.5% from three-point territory.

WNBA Predictions, Best Bets and Odds for Sabrina Ionescu and New York Liberty

Sabrina Ionescu played a pivotal role in the last outing; she tallied 28 points, shooting 9 for 18 from the field. Over 33 minutes, she also contributed 4 rebounds and 8 assists, hitting 50% of her shots.

Entering this matchup, the New York Liberty hold a record of 13-11 for the season. The squad averages 87.8 points per game, ranking 8th in the league, while shooting 45.9% from the field. The Liberty are effective from three-point range, connecting on 34.5% (237 of 686) of their attempts, and showcasing an impressive 85.6% from the free throw line. Averaging 34.4 rebounds per game, they have accumulated 491 assists, placing them 4th in the league for total assists. They lose possession 14.3 times per game and commit an average of 19.0 fouls per contest. On the defensive front, New York forces 11.3 turnovers per game, while allowing an average of 84.5 points to opponents, which ranks 4th in defensive output. They allow a field goal percentage of 43.9% and average 31.9 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 11th in assists given up with 493.

In their last game, the Dallas Wings secured a victory, defeating the Chicago Sky 96-91. The Wings successfully grabbed 26 defensive rebounds alongside 7 offensive boards for a total of 33 rebounds. They committed 5 turnovers and notched 4 steals throughout the match. The Sky committed 16 fouls, leading to 19 free throw attempts for the Wings, who successfully converted 15 for a 78.9% shooting rate. From the field, Dallas went 36 of 75 for an effective 48.0%. Defensively, they allowed the Sky to also connect on 48.0% of their shots.

Paige Bueckers emerged as a crucial player for the Wings, scoring 22 points on 7 of 15 shooting and accruing 6 rebounds in her 36 minutes of play. She also facilitated the offense with 11 assists.

Dallas boasts a record of 16-8 this season, ranking 4th in the WNBA for field goal percentage at 46.3%. The Wings have scored a total of 2,147 points, averaging 89.5 points per game, and grab 34.0 rebounds per outing. They average 22.2 assists per contest, the 2nd highest in the league, with just 10.3 turnovers per game. The team commits 18.4 fouls on average and shows excellent performance at the free throw line, shooting 79.7%. Defensively, the Wings rank 7th in points per game allowed, giving up 85.4, while forcing 12.9 turnovers per game.

Who will claim victory in this WNBA showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Dallas (-1.5)

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Pick: Dallas Wings (-1.5)
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