New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Analysis, 6/25/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds

Home » New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Analysis, 6/25/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm
  • Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
  • Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
  • Point Spread: New York favored by 12.5 points

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The New York Liberty (12-6) are set to face off against the Seattle Storm (3-15) at Climate Pledge Arena this Thursday, opening as 12.5-point favorites. The total for this matchup is set at 167.5.

The Liberty recently secured a victory against the Las Vegas Aces, triumphing 87-76. New York achieved a shooting percentage of 46.2% (30 of 65) and was successful on 13 of 31 attempts from three-point range. At the charity stripe, they converted 14 of 16 free throws for an impressive 87.5%. On the rebounding front, they collected 38 boards, including 9 offensive. The team also registered 23 assists and forced the Aces into 9 turnovers, along with 7 steals. Defensively, New York allowed their opponents a field goal percentage of 43.1%, permitting Las Vegas to make 31 of 72 shots. The Aces recorded 7 assists and 5 steals, while gathering 26 total rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive) and blocked 2 shots. Las Vegas finished the game with a free-throw shooting percentage of 75.0%, hitting 6 out of 8 attempts, while only managing 8 of 27 from beyond the arc.

WNBA picks Breanna Stewart New York Liberty predictions best bet odds

Star player Breanna Stewart played a pivotal role in the victory, scoring 20 points on 7 of 16 shooting. She logged 36 minutes on the court, grabbed 6 rebounds, and also passed for 4 assists, finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.8%.

Heading into this game, New York maintains a strong record of 12-6 this season. They average 14.4 turnovers per game and are committing 19.7 fouls. As a unit, they average 35.5 rebounds and lead the league in assists with 378, averaging 88.9 points per game (ranking 7th in the WNBA) with a shooting percentage of 46.3% from the field. Defensively, the Liberty force 10.9 turnovers and draw 21.2 personal fouls, while ranking 13th for assists allowed (364 this season). Their opponents are shooting 43.3% against them, and they allow an average of 31.0 rebounds and 32.5% from three-point territory, finishing 3rd in points allowed per game (83.1).

In their last outing, the Seattle Storm narrowly lost to the Dallas Wings, finishing 112-110. They secured 29 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 34. Seattle recorded 13 turnovers while claiming 5 steals in that matchup. The Wings committed 14 fouls, giving Seattle the opportunity to shoot 21 free throws. The Storm converted 19 of those attempts, boasting a success rate of 90.5%. From three-point range, they made 13 of 29 shots (44.8%). Overall, Seattle shot 39 of 77 from the floor (50.6%), whereas they allowed Dallas to shoot 53.9% on 48 of 89 attempts. Seattle rounded off the game with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.5% (9 out of 24) and went 7 of 9 from the free-throw line (77.8%). In rebounding, they limited Dallas to 34 total boards, including 9 offensive.

Dominique Malonga was a standout for Seattle, scoring 37 points with a shooting rate of 58.3% on 14 of 24 attempts, alongside 12 rebounds and 1 assist in her 38 minutes of play.

Seattle’s season record stands at 3-15. They average 20.1 fouls per game and have an 80.9% free throw shooting rate. In terms of assists, they average 18.6 (14th in the league) but turn the ball over 13.8 times per game. The Storm have scored a total of 1,418 points this season (78.8 per game) and grab 31.6 rebounds per contest. On offense, they shoot 41.3% (13th in the WNBA) while defensively allowing 85.9 points per game (8th in the league). Their opponents shoot 30.5% from three-point range (148 of 486) and convert 81.4% of free throw attempts. They allowed 20.2 assists and 36.7 total rebounds per game, ranking 10th and 14th in the league, respectively. Additionally, Seattle forces 11.9 turnovers per match while limiting rivals to a field goal percentage of 42.8% (2nd in the WNBA).

Who will prevail tonight in this WNBA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Choose New York (-12.5)

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Pick: New York Liberty (-12.5)
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