- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
- Schedule: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+116) Atlanta (-140)
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The Atlanta Braves (94-68) face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) at Truist Park for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card series this Wednesday. The betting odds feature the Phillies at +116 and the Braves at -140, with the total set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Cristopher Sanchez and Tyler Mahle.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a slugging percentage of .395 and have been struck out 1,318 times while earning 529 walks. This season, they’ve recorded 691 RBIs and 1,301 hits, maintaining a batting average of .240. As a team, they have 246 doubles and 182 home runs, with 713 runs scored, achieving a team on-base percentage of .312. As a result, the Phillies generate an average of 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the league.
The Phillies have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.26 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. This season, they’ve allowed 191 home runs and 698 runs (ranking 11th in MLB). Compiling 1,366 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) along with 646 earned runs, the Phillies maintain an ERA of 4.04 (11th in the league) with 1,577 strikeouts and 484 walks. Their FIP currently stands at 3.79.
Relievers for the Phillies have a save percentage of 64.6%, appearing in 140 save opportunities. They have successfully converted 42 of their 65 chances but have also blown 23 saves. This season, relievers have inherited 171 baserunners, with 38.6% scoring. The Phillies’ bullpen has made 531 pitching appearances, securing 73 holds (26th in MLB).
In 12,945 defensive innings, the Phillies have an out conversion rate of 67.8%, ranking 28th in the league. They compiled 4,315 putouts, 1,337 assists, and 80 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB) alongside 105 double plays.
Sanchez (48-28 career slate) offers a FIP of 3.11, facing 3,050 opponents in the majors. With a history of allowing 699 hits (averaging 8.5 hits per 9 innings) and 173 walks, his earned run average is 3.15 (260 runs allowed), alongside a WHIP of 1.175. Over his career, he has pitched for 742 innings, accumulating 740 strikeouts.
For the Atlanta Braves, the on-base percentage is .309 with a team batting average of .246. They have struck out 1,310 times (21st in the league) while securing a total of 1,348 hits. The Braves have hit 204 home runs this season, compiling 711 RBIs and maintaining a slugging percentage of .409 with an impressive 4.58 runs per game (9th in MLB). Additionally, they’ve logged 251 doubles and 742 total runs.
The Braves’ WHIP is 1.243 and their team FIP stands at 4.13. They rank 6th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 1,259. The Atlanta pitching staff has conceded 626 runs this season, achieving a team ERA of 3.63 (580 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.40 (1,350 strikeouts against 529 walks), allowing 185 home runs and giving up 3.92 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).
Ranked 7th in save percentage (71.0%), Atlanta has sent 499 pitchers to the mound from their bullpen this season. Their bullpen has entered 175 high-leverage scenarios and appeared 119 times with runners on base. In 180 save opportunities, the Braves have recorded 106 holds and faced 20 blown saves, converting 49 of 69 save chances. They have an inherited score rate of 20.9% out of 172 inherited runners.
Across 12,942 innings on the field, the Braves claim a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (5th in MLB). Their stunning 131 double plays and .989 fielding percentage keep them 5th in the league. They have amassed 1,348 assists, 65 errors, and 4,314 putouts thus far this season.
Mahle (43-47 career record) holds a 3.92 ERA, yielding 8.3 hits per nine innings. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.93 as he’s faced 3,332 batters. He has allowed 344 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 3.9. Over his career, Mahle has surrendered 724 hits while amassing 801 strikeouts in 789 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Opt for Philadelphia (+116)
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