- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners
- Event Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-182) Seattle (+150)
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On Tuesday, the Seattle Mariners (currently at 62-69) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (73-58) at T-Mobile Park. The odds for this game list Philadelphia at -182 and Seattle at +150, with a total score set at 9 runs. This matchup features starting pitchers Aaron Nola for the Phillies and George Kirby for the Mariners.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have been averaging 4.6 runs per game, positioning them 10th overall in the league. With a total of 599 runs, they maintain an on-base percentage of .314. The team has hit 192 doubles and launched 158 home runs. They have accrued 580 RBIs and 1,068 hits, boasting a batting average of .243. Their slugging percentage stands at .404, and they have recorded 1,095 strikeouts while drawing 420 walks.
The Phillies’ pitchers have a K/BB ratio of 3.27 and a combined WHIP of 1.30. They have allowed 154 home runs and given up 572 runs, ranking 13th in the league. Philadelphia’s pitching has yielded 1,120 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 531 earned runs, yielding an ERA of 4.11 (14th in MLB), while tallying 1,290 strikeouts. The pitching staff has issued 394 walks and has a team FIP of 3.75 for the season.
In high-pressure situations, Phillies relievers have entered with runners on base 102 times and appeared in 125 clutch situations. The bullpen has achieved 57 holds this season (25th in baseball) and boasts a save percentage of 67.3%, having entered 111 save opportunities with 35 conversions but 17 blown saves. 436 relievers have taken the mound so far this season.
On the defense, the Philadelphia Phillies have recorded 3,491 putouts, 1,075 assists, and 66 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB) and 79 double plays. They transform 67.3% of balls in play into outs during their 10,473 innings, ranking them 29th among MLB teams.
Aaron Nola has thrown 1,852 innings in his MLB career, recording 2,022 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.93 (allowing 808 earned runs). His career WHIP stands at 1.169, allowing 1,670 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 495 walks. Nola has faced 7,632 batters with a career record of 114 wins and 98 losses and a FIP of 3.87.
The Seattle Mariners, on the other hand, have tallied 149 home runs this season alongside 495 RBIs. They have 158 doubles and have drawn 436 walks, scoring a total of 513 runs. Seattle maintains a .309 on-base percentage and a .229 batting average this year, with a team slugging percentage of .375 while averaging 3.92 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have been struck out 1,128 times (8th in baseball) and recorded 995 hits.
The Mariners’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.241 and a FIP of 3.91 this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (1,114 strikeouts vs. 340 walks) and rank 20th in the league with 1,096 hits allowed, while giving up 153 home runs and 4.46 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). Seattle’s pitchers have allowed a total of 574 runs this year, resulting in a 4.12 ERA (530 earned runs).
Seattle is currently 23rd in the league with a save rate of 58.0%, having utilized 398 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered 134 times in pressure situations and 95 times with runners on base. Out of 120 save opportunities, Seattle has 69 holds and 21 blown saves, converting 29 of 50 save situations. Mariners’ relief pitchers have inherited 133 runners this season, allowing 30.8% to score.
In their 10,413 innings on defense, the Mariners’ efficiency is 69.0% (25th in Major League Baseball). They have recorded 110 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors), alongside 1,069 assists, 69 errors, and 3,471 putouts throughout the season.
George Kirby, with a career record of 53 wins and 44 losses, has a 3.69 earned run average, allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. With a K/BB ratio of 5.86, he has faced 3,188 hitters in his MLB career. Kirby has surrendered 319 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.6. Notably, he has allowed 773 hits and recorded 738 strikeouts over 777 innings pitched.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Seattle (+150)
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