- Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: Peacock
- Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix Mercury (+9.5)
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The Phoenix Mercury (8-15) travel to Michelob ULTRA Arena for an exciting matchup against the Las Vegas Aces (16-6). The opening line has Phoenix set as 9.5-point underdogs, and the over/under stands at 172.5.
In their last outing, the Phoenix Mercury fell to the Indiana Fever, concluding the game at 92-89. Phoenix achieved a field goal percentage of 49.3% (35 out of 71) and converted 11 of their 27 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they succeeded in 8 of 10 attempts, equating to an 80.0% success rate. Rebounding was a challenge for them as they collected a total of 27 rebounds, with only 4 coming on the offensive end. The team also recorded 23 assists, forced 10 turnovers, and had 4 steals. On defense, they allowed Indiana to hit 50.0% of their shots, as the Fever completed 35 of 70 attempts. Indiana contributed 6 assists and tallied 8 steals, while they pulled down 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive) and delivered 4 blocks. Indiana finished the game with a perfect free-throw percentage, sinking 10 of 10 attempts, along with 12 of 27 shots from deep.
Kahleah Copper was a standout player in this matchup, netting 22 points on 9 of 17 shooting. She played for 32 minutes and secured 5 rebounds, finishing with a shooting efficiency of 52.9%, alongside 2 assists.
Phoenix enters this matchup holding an 8-15 record for the season. They average 13.0 turnovers per game and commit 18.2 personal fouls per match. Collectively, they secure 32.0 rebounds per contest and have accumulated 440 assists throughout the season, ranking 7th in the league for assists. The Mercury hit 33.1% of their three-point attempts (187 of 565) and an impressive 78.9% from the free-throw line. Offensively, they score an average of 83.7 points per game, placing them 11th in the league, while shooting 43.7% from the field. Defensively, they force 13.2 turnovers per game and receive 21.2 fouls. Unfortunately, the Mercury’s defense allows opponents to shoot 46.0% overall (303 of 487) and yield an average of 33.3 rebounds per game. They rank 13th in allowing assists with 473 this season and permit 37.2% from three-point range, positioned 8th in points allowed per game (85.7).
Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Aces recently secured a victory against the Portland Fire, with a final score of 88-80. The Aces managed to collect 27 total rebounds (23 defensive, 4 offensive) and recorded 12 turnovers while achieving 13 steals. The Fire committed 19 fouls, granting the Aces 22 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 18 for a percentage of 81.8%. From beyond the arc, Las Vegas made 8 of their 20 attempts (40.0%). Overall, the Aces were successful on 31 of 61 shot attempts, resulting in a shooting rate of 50.8%. They limited the Fire to 27 of 61 shots, which equates to a 44.3% shooting percentage. The Aces shot 34.4% from three-point territory, knocking down 11 of 32 attempts, and finished 15 of 20 from the free-throw line (75.0%). On the rebounding front, they allowed Portland to grab 30 boards (6 offensive).
A’ja Wilson had a significant influence in this game, scoring 32 points on 10 of 19 shooting (52.6%) along with 10 rebounds in her 30 minutes of gameplay, contributing 3 assists to the team’s efforts.
With a record of 16-6, Las Vegas has scored a total of 1,977 points this season, averaging 89.9 points per game. They secure an average of 34.6 rebounds per contest and commit 17.5 fouls per game while hitting 77.3% from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Aces rank first in the league with a shooting percentage of 48.7% while averaging 22.3 assists per game, also ranking first. They turn the ball over 12.4 times per game. Defensively, the Aces rank 9th in points allowed per game (86.1). They give up an average of 19.0 assists and 33.0 total rebounds per contest, placing them 3rd and 6th in these categories, respectively. The defense permits 35.1% shooting from three-point range (198 of 564) and allows opponents to convert 79.6% of free-throw attempts. The Aces force 12.0 turnovers per game, allowing a field goal percentage of 43.8% (7th in the league).
Who will claim victory in tonight’s WNBA clash against the spread?
Prediction: Take Phoenix Mercury (+9.5)
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