- Matchup: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
- Current Odds: Seattle (+4.5)
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On Thursday, the Seattle Storm (5-15) will visit the Mortgage Matchup Center to face the Phoenix Mercury (7-13). The Storm enter the matchup as underdogs, with a spread of 4.5 points. The total points over/under is set at 169.5.
In their previous outing, the Seattle Storm secured a victory against the Atlanta Dream, winning 105-90. Seattle recorded an impressive shooting accuracy of 60.3% (38 of 63) and sank 14 out of 23 triples. At the charity stripe, the Storm converted 15 of their 20 attempts, yielding a success rate of 75.0%. On the boards, they amassed 34 rebounds, including 8 offensive captures. Seattle also provided 27 assists, forced 13 opponent turnovers, and snagged 5 steals. Defensively, they allowed Atlanta to shoot 42.9% from the field, enabling 30 of 70 attempts. Atlanta garnered 6 assists, made 7 steals, and collected a total of 26 rebounds (6 offensive, 20 defensive), but recorded no blocks. The Dream converted 88.5% from the free throw line, hitting 23 of 26 attempts, and made 7 out of 29 three-point shots.
Flau’jae Johnson had a standout performance, scoring 24 points on 9 of 12 shooting over 33 minutes of play. She also pulled down 11 rebounds and dished out 4 assists.
The Seattle Storm enters this matchup with a 5-15 record for the season. They average 14.0 turnovers per game, committing 20.2 fouls each outing. As a team, Seattle secures 32.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 379 assists this year, ranking 10th in the WNBA for passing efficiency. The Storm connect on 35.0% of their three-point attempts (179 of 512) and maintain an 80.6% free throw success rate. They average 81.1 points per game, placing them 14th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 42.8%. Defensively, Seattle forces 12.1 turnovers each game and draws 18.1 fouls. They rank 6th in points allowed per game (86.2), permitting opponents a field goal percentage of 42.9% (241 of 361) and yielding 35.8 boards per game. Currently, they stand 11th in assists allowed, conceding 406 thus far this season.
In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury emerged victorious with an 89-80 score against the Toronto Tempo. They recorded a total of 32 rebounds, combining 25 defensive and 7 offensive boards. The Mercury committed 8 turnovers but achieved 10 steals. The Tempo committed 24 fouls, allowing Phoenix 29 free throw attempts, of which they converted 21 for a rate of 72.4%. From beyond the arc, the Mercury made 10 of 27 shots (37.0%). Overall, Phoenix finished shooting 29 out of 67 from the field for an efficiency of 43.3%. They allowed the Tempo to shoot 46.3% from the floor (31 of 67) and 40.0% from three-point range (12 of 30), while converting only 6 of 12 free throws (50.0%). Defensively, they permitted Toronto to secure 35 rebounds (4 offensive).
Kahleah Copper was a key player for the Mercury, scoring 27 points on 10 of 15 shooting and grabbing 5 rebounds over her 34 minutes on the court. She added 1 assist during the match.
The Phoenix Mercury holds a 7-13 record this season. They have scored 1,679 points so far (averaging 84.0 points per game) and secure 31.9 rebounds per matchup. The team commits 18.6 fouls on average and boasts a free throw percentage of 79.3%. Offensively, they shoot at a 43.6% rate from the field, ranking 11th in the league. They facilitate assists at a rate of 19.3 per game (12th in the WNBA) and commit 12.9 turnovers per contest. Defensively, the Mercury rank 10th in the league for points allowed per game, with a concession rate of 86.8. They force 13.2 turnovers per game and restrict opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field (10th in the WNBA). The Phoenix defense allows 36.9% from three-point range (199 of 539) and has let opponents convert 79.9% of free throw attempts. They also allow an average of 20.8 assists and 33.6 rebounds per game, ranking 12th and 9th, respectively, in the league.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s WNBA showdown against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Seattle (+4.5)
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