- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
- Event Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Washington (+106) | New York (-128)
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The Washington Nationals (59-63) are heading to Citi Field this Friday to face off against the New York Mets (53-69). The moneyline is set at +106 for Washington and -128 for New York. The game’s total is established at 8.5 runs, with Andrew Alvarez and Robert Stock as the starting pitchers.
The Nationals rank first in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game, with a total of 655 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .328. The team has recorded 212 doubles and hit 176 home runs. They have driven in 626 RBIs and tallied 1,056 hits this season, with a batting average of .252. Washington boasts a slugging percentage of .441, while striking out 1,014 times and earning 429 walks.
The Nationals currently hold an earned run average (ERA) of 4.76, ranking 27th overall, and their pitchers have recorded 922 strikeouts. They have given up 172 home runs and a total of 639 runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has issued 428 walks, with a team fielding independent pitching (FIP) stat of 4.80. Washington has conceded 1,090 hits (averaging 9.0 per 9 innings) alongside 576 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.15 and a WHIP of 1.39.
Throughout the season, Nationals pitchers have faced runners on base 125 times and have appeared in 132 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has recorded 61 holds (19th in MLB) and a save rate of 51.6%, converting 33 out of 64 save chances. The relievers have inherited 193 runners, with 43.5% scoring. Washington has utilized 388 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Nationals have achieved 3,266 putouts, contributed 1,135 assists, and committed 89 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .980, placing them 30th in the league, with 104 double plays recorded. They have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs during 9,798 innings, ranking 25th in baseball.
Pitcher Andrew Alvarez (3-4 career record) has a FIP of 3.37 and has faced 394 batters in the majors. He has allowed 81 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 42 walks, holding an ERA of 3.42 (35 earned runs). With 92 innings pitched, he has amassed 85 strikeouts and a career WHIP of 1.334.
The New York Mets have hit 148 home runs and amassed 487 RBIs this season. They’ve registered 152 doubles, walked 392 times, and scored 510 runs collectively. Their on-base percentage stands at .306 along with a batting average of .235. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .388, averaging 4.18 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have struck out 1,037 times (11th in MLB), accumulating 966 hits.
On the mound, the Mets’ pitching staff has permitted 557 runs, with an ERA of 4.14 (499 earned runs). They have conceded 132 home runs, allowing 4.62 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB), maintaining a WHIP of 1.309 and a team FIP of 4.00. The staff reports a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,095 strikeouts against 434 walks) and ranks 14th in total hits allowed with 986.
The Mets’ relievers have allowed runs to score from 29.5% of the 156 inherited runners. They have entered 121 high-leverage situations alongside 113 occasions with runners on base. With 83 save situations, New York has achieved 47 holds and experienced 14 blown saves, holding a save percentage of 60.0%, with 371 relievers used this season.
In terms of defensive efficiency, the Mets have achieved 69.3% across 9,771 innings (21st in MLB). Their fielding percentage is .982, ranking 28th, with 75 double plays, 970 assists, and 79 errors, finishing with 3,257 putouts in the 2026 season.
Robert Stock has given up 93 hits and made 85 strikeouts in 83 innings pitched, holding a career record of 2-6 with a 5.42 ERA. He allows 10.1 hits per nine innings, with 50 earned runs to his name, a WHIP of 1.709, and a FIP of 5.3. Stock has faced 385 batters in his career and maintains a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.73.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Go for New York (-128)
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