- Matchup: Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets
- Event Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
- Venue: Ball Arena in Denver, CO
- Broadcast: ESPN
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The Houston Rockets (39-24) will visit Ball Arena on Wednesday, seeking to secure a victory against the Denver Nuggets (39-26).
In their last game, the Rockets faced off against the Spurs, resulting in a defeat with a score of 145-120. Houston achieved a field goal percentage of 48.3% (42 out of 87) and made 8 of 28 three-point attempts. From the free-throw line, the Rockets successfully converted 28 of their 32 attempts, showcasing an impressive rate of 87.5%. They gathered a total of 37 rebounds, with 8 offensive boards, and recorded 25 assists while forcing the Spurs into 8 turnovers and securing 5 steals. On defense, the Rockets allowed their opponents to shoot 58.0% from the field, with the Spurs completing 51 out of 88 attempts. San Antonio managed 38 assists and garnered a total of 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive) along with 5 blocks. From the free-throw line, the Spurs shot 81.5%, converting 22 of 27 attempts, and made 21 out of their 40 three-point attempts. In total, the Rockets committed 23 personal fouls compared to the Spurs’ 26.
Kevin Durant was pivotal in this matchup, finishing with a shooting percentage of 58.3% from the field and contributing 4 assists. He logged 33 minutes on the court, grabbed 5 rebounds, and scored 23 points on 7 of 12 shooting.
The Rockets come into this game holding a record of 39-24 for the season. They average 114.6 points per game (ranking 20th in the league), shooting 47.6% from the field. Houston has a three-point shooting percentage of 36.8% (712 attempts out of 1,936) and a free-throw percentage of 76.3%. They average 48.2 rebounds per game and have tallied 1,559 assists, placing them 29th in the league for assists. On the turnover front, the Rockets commit 15.6 turnovers per game and average 18.6 personal fouls.
Defensively, Houston forces opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game while committing 20.0 fouls. They limit their rivals to a 35.1% success rate on three-point shots and rank 4th in the league for points allowed per game (109.9). The Rockets give up a shooting percentage of 45.8% (2,545 of 5,558) and allow 39.7 rebounds per game as a team. They’re currently 2nd in the NBA for total assists conceded with 1,546 issued this season.
In their previous game, the Nuggets suffered a narrow 129-126 loss against the Thunder. During that game, the Nuggets secured 40 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive boards, totaling 56 rebounds. They turned the ball over 8 times while earning 3 steals. The Thunder committed 20 personal fouls, granting Denver 29 trips to the charity stripe where they converted 21 for a shooting percentage of 72.4%. From beyond the arc, Denver made 15 out of 37 attempts (40.5%). Overall, the Nuggets finished shooting 45 out of 98, giving them an efficiency rate of 45.9%. They allowed the Thunder to score 47 of 93 attempts, equating to 50.5% shooting. The Nuggets ended the game shooting 40.4% on three-pointers by hitting 19 of their 47 attempts and shot 16 of 21 from the free-throw line (76.2%). In rebounding, they allowed Oklahoma City to secure a total of 37 boards (3 offensive).
Nikola Jokic was a standout player in this game, with his impressive performance seeing him hit 12 of 19 shots for a success rate of 63.2%. He amassed 32 points in 40 minutes of action, alongside 14 rebounds and 13 assists.
This season, the Nuggets hold a record of 39-26. As a team, they average 19.0 fouls per game and maintain an 80.6% free-throw percentage. They distribute the ball well with an average of 28.0 assists per game (ranking 9th in the NBA) and commit 13.0 turnovers. Denver has scored a total of 7,817 points this season, averaging 120.3 per game, with a shooting percentage of 49.2%, good for 2nd in the league.
Defensively, the Nuggets are ranked 20th in terms of points allowed per game, giving up 116.6. They force opponents into 12.0 turnovers each game and have allowed them to shoot 47.1% from the field (17th in the NBA). Denver’s opponents shoot 35.4% on three-point attempts (879 of 2,483) and convert 77.5% of their free throws. They allow 27.2 assists and 42.6 rebounds per game, ranking 19th and 8th in the league, respectively.
What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?
Parlay Pundit’s Recommendation: Back the Nuggets and take the under on total points.
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