Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo Analysis, 6/27/2026 WNBA Predictions, Picks, and Odds

• Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo
• Scheduled Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
• Broadcast: CBS
• Line/Point Spread: Phoenix (+2.5)

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This Saturday, the Phoenix Mercury (6-13) will travel to Scotiabank Arena for a showdown against the Toronto Tempo (9-9). The Mercury are opening as 2.5-point underdogs, with an over/under set at 174.5.

In their most recent game, the Phoenix Mercury triumphed over the Indiana Fever with a scoreline of 111-109. The Mercury showcased impressive shooting, with a field goal percentage of 59.1% (39 out of 66) and converted 7 out of their 20 attempts from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, Phoenix successfully made 26 of 33 free throws, translating to an efficiency rate of 78.8%. They secured 26 rebounds, of which 6 were on the offensive end, and provided 21 assists while forcing 16 turnovers from the Fever and collecting 8 steals. Defensively, Phoenix allowed Indiana to shoot 59.1% with 39 successful field goals out of 66 attempts; the Fever managed 5 assists and registered 6 steals during the match. Indiana gathered 26 rebounds (5 offensive, 21 defensive) and blocked 1 shot. From the free throw line, Indiana was nearly perfect, making 18 out of 19 attempts (94.7%) and hit 13 of 27 from three-point territory.

Kahleah Copper was a standout performer, contributing significantly with 28 points on 6 of 10 shooting. She played for 31 minutes, adding 3 rebounds and 1 assist while shooting at an impressive 60.0% from the field.

The Mercury now hold a 6-13 record for the season. They are currently shooting 32.1% from three-point range (148 of 461) and 79.7% from the free throw line. On average, they score 83.7 points per game, ranking 9th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 43.6%. They average 13.2 turnovers per game and commit 18.7 personal fouls. Phoenix retrieves 31.8 rebounds per game and has logged 369 assists for the season, placing them 6th in assists. Defensively, they force 13.2 turnovers on average, committing 21.4 fouls, while allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 36.7%, which ranks them 9th in points allowed per game at 87.2. The Mercury’s defensive unit allows a field goal percentage of 46.2% (251 of 407) and gives up 33.5 rebounds per game, currently ranking 13th in the WNBA in assists allowed with a total of 389.

In their last outing, the Toronto Tempo secured a definitive win, overpowering the Los Angeles Sparks 125-97. The Tempo amassed a total of 52 rebounds, including 37 on the defensive side and 15 on the offensive glass. They turned the ball over 10 times while recording 5 steals during the game. The Sparks committed 23 personal fouls, sending the Tempo to the free-throw line for 27 attempts, of which they landed 23 for an 85.2% success rate. From three-point range, Toronto effectively hit 20 of their 42 attempts, achieving a striking 47.6%. The Tempo concluded the game shooting 41 of 80 from the floor, which resulted in a shooting percentage of 51.3%. Defensively, they allowed the Sparks to convert 33 out of 77 attempts from the field, resulting in a 42.9% shooting average. Los Angeles struggled from the perimeter, hitting only 11 of 38 three-point attempts (28.9%) and finished at 20 of 26 from the charity stripe (76.9%). Additionally, Toronto allowed the Sparks 30 rebounds overall, including 8 offensive rebounds.

Marina Mabrey played a pivotal role for the Tempo, achieving a remarkable game where she scored 53 points on 17 of 28 shooting for an impressive field goal percentage of 60.7%, and contributed with 6 rebounds and 2 assists over her 32 minutes of play.

The Toronto Tempo currently stands at an even 9-9 for the season. They have recorded a total of 1,645 points this season, averaging 91.4 points per game, while securing 31.8 rebounds per contest. Toronto averages 22.9 fouls each game and maintains a free throw success rate of 83.4%. Their offensive efficiency sees them shooting 44.4% from the floor, placing them 8th overall in the league. They dish out assists at a rate of 19.9 times per game, ranking 8th in the WNBA, and they turn the ball over 12.9 times on average. Toronto’s defensive statistics reflect that they rank 14th in points allowed per game at 92.1, giving up 22.1 assists and 35.2 rebounds per matchup, placing them 13th and 12th respectively. The Tempo allows their opponents to shoot 32.1% from three-point range (151 of 470) and concede 77.0% from the free throw line, while they force 13.7 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 46.7% from the floor (13th in the league).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Phoenix (+2.5)