- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox
- Event Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: San Diego (-196) Boston (+162)
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The San Diego Padres (2-4) are set to take the field against the Boston Red Sox (1-5) this Friday at Fenway Park. The opening moneyline has the Padres favored at -196, while the Red Sox are positioned at +162. The total runs over/under for this matchup is set at 9. Scheduled starters for this game are Michael King and Sonny Gray.
This season, the Padres have managed a total of 10 doubles and launched 3 home runs. They currently have a slugging percentage of .301, with 51 strikeouts and 21 walks recorded. As a team, the Padres generate an average of 3.2 runs per game, ranking them 25th in the league. So far, they have accumulated 16 RBIs and 39 hits, resulting in a batting average of .202. Their on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .280 with a total of 19 runs scored.
The Padres’ current strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.50 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.30. They have conceded 4 home runs and a total of 26 runs, placing them 15th in the MLB. San Diego’s pitchers have given up 46 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and allowed 24 earned runs, with a team ERA of 4.00, ranking 17th. They’ve struck out 60 batters thus far, issued 24 walks, and their FIP is at 3.36 this season.
The Padres’ bullpen has faced batters with runners on base 4 times and participated in 4 high-leverage scenarios. They possess 3 holds for the season (19th in baseball) and have inherited 8 base runners, with 87.5% of those resulting in runs scored. Throughout the season, 20 different relief pitchers have taken the mound.
In terms of defense, the Padres have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs over their 486 innings, positioning them at 21st in the league. Currently, San Diego has recorded 162 putouts, 46 assists, and made 2 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .990, ranking 12th in the majors, with 4 double plays executed.
Michael King has pitched for 499 innings, accumulating 565 strikeouts in his professional career. He has an ERA of 3.21 (178 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.192. King has allowed 419 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) along with 176 walks. His career win-loss record is 31-29, and he has a FIP of 3.16 after facing 2,089 batters in the majors.
The Boston Red Sox have recorded a slugging percentage of .347, averaging 2.83 runs per game (27th in MLB). They’ve hit 10 doubles while drawing 22 walks and scoring a total of 17 runs. Boston has hit 6 home runs and driven in 16 runs. They have struck out 67 times (6th in MLB) and have tallied 42 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .208 and an OBP of .295.
As for the Red Sox pitching staff, they have given up 32 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.93 (28 earned runs allowed). They’ve surrendered 11 home runs and allow 5.64 runs per 9 innings, ranking 26th. Their WHIP stands at 1.487, paired with a FIP of 5.37. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 9.50, with 54 strikeouts opposed to 23 walks. They are currently 25th in the league for total hits allowed with 53.
The relievers have experienced 6 high-leverage situations and 6 instances with base runners. Currently, their save percentage is at 50.0%, ranking 18th in baseball, with 17 relievers utilized this season.
On the defensive side, the Red Sox’s efficiency stands at 67.2% over 462 innings (25th in the majors). Their team has turned 4 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .972 (25th in MLB). They have achieved 51 assists, made 6 errors, and recorded 154 putouts this season.
Sonny Gray, in his professional baseball journey, has allowed 1,681 hits while tallying 1,930 strikeouts over 1,922 innings pitched. With a career record of 125-102, Gray maintains a 3.59 ERA and has given up 7.9 hits per nine innings, with 766 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.198, and his FIP is at 3.5. He possesses a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and has faced 7,972 batters throughout his career.
Who will come out victorious in tonight’s matchup—will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Boston (+162) and the under on 9 runs.
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