- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+150), Milwaukee (-182)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (7-9) travel to American Family Field on Thursday to face the Milwaukee Brewers (8-8). The moneyline for this matchup has Toronto at +150 while Milwaukee opens at -182. The over/under is set at 8.5. Expected starting pitchers are Patrick Corbin and Brandon Sproat.
The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded 27 doubles and launched 16 home runs this season. They hold a slugging percentage of .388 and have struck out 111 times while walking 55 times. The Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking 20th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have amassed 64 RBIs and 137 hits, while their batting average stands at .248. The team has scored 66 runs this season, posting an on-base percentage (OBP) of .320.
The Blue Jays hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.95, with their pitching staff maintaining a WHIP of 1.35. Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 22 home runs and have given up 89 runs this season, placing them 27th in the league. The team has surrendered 136 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 78 earned runs. Their earned run average (ERA) sits at 4.79 (26th in MLB), with 180 strikeouts and 61 walks, yielding a FIP of 4.04 this season.
This season, the Blue Jays have utilized 62 relief pitchers. Their bullpen has inherited 30 base runners, with 33.3% of those scoring. The relievers have achieved 9 holds in the season (ranked 17th in MLB). Blue Jays relievers have come into games with runners on base 24 times and have experienced 23 high-leverage situations, recording 2 saves while converting 2 of 7 save opportunities. The save rate for Toronto’s bullpen is 28.6% over 18 save situations.
Toronto has converted 67.0% of balls in play into outs during their 1,320 innings, placing them 28th in the league. Defensively, the Blue Jays have registered 440 putouts, 124 assists, and 11 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 22nd in professional baseball. They have also executed 10 double plays.
Patrick Corbin has pitched a total of 2,051 innings, striking out 1,863 batters in his career. With a career ERA of 4.51 (1,029 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.373, he has allowed 2,185 hits (9.6 per nine innings) along with 631 walks. Corbin’s career win-loss record stands at 110-142 with a FIP of 4.45, facing 8,830 hitters.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit 18 home runs and driven in 84 runs this season. They’ve achieved 24 doubles and recorded 82 walks, accumulating 87 runs. The Brewers hold an on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .240, with a slugging percentage of .393, averaging 5.44 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have struck out 139 times (22nd in the league) and compiled 129 hits this season.
The Brewers’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.387 and a FIP of 4.14 for the season. They rank 12th in the league for total hits allowed with 132. The Milwaukee pitching staff has surrendered 73 runs this season, showcasing a team ERA of 4.37 (69 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.40 (149 strikeouts vs. 65 walks) and they’ve yielded 17 home runs while allowing 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).
Milwaukee ranks 16th in save rate at 66.7%. They have called upon 52 relievers this season. Their relief pitchers have appeared 13 times in high-pressure situations and 14 times with runners on base. Of their 14 save opportunities, the Brewers have achieved 8 holds and 2 blown saves. They have converted 4 of 6 save chances, with an inherited runner score percentage of 46.2% out of 26 inherited runners.
In their 1,278 innings on the field, the Brewers have recorded a defensive efficiency ratio of 68.3% (24th in MLB). The team has registered 11 double plays and boasts a fielding percentage of .990 (8th in MLB), together with 144 assists, 6 errors, and a total of 426 putouts for the season.
Brandon Sproat, still searching for his first win (0-3 career record), sports a 6.83 ERA and allows 9.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 1.59, having faced 134 hitters during his MLB tenure. Sproat has allowed a total of 23 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.617 and a FIP of 6.7. In his professional career, he has surrendered 32 hits and accumulated 27 strikeouts in 30 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown, against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Choose Toronto (+150)
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