- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Washington (+125) Cleveland (-145)
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On Tuesday, the Cleveland Guardians (32-23) will host the Washington Nationals (27-27) at Progressive Field. The moneyline shows the Nationals at +125, while the Guardians are favored at -145. The projected over/under is set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers are expected to be Cade Cavalli and Joey Cantillo.
The Nationals have achieved 105 doubles and launched 65 home runs as a collective unit. With a slugging percentage of .413, they have struck out 455 times while drawing 198 walks. Averaging 5.3 runs per game, the Nationals currently lead the league. They have also racked up 270 RBIs and 451 total hits, maintaining a batting average of .243. Overall, they have scored 288 runs with an on-base percentage of .322.
The Nationals possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.22, and their pitching staff is represented by a collective WHIP of 1.38. Currently, they have surrendered 76 home runs and 302 runs (ranked 30th in MLB). Allowing 483 hits (8.9 per nine innings) and 261 earned runs, the Nationals hold a team ERA of 4.80 (26th in MLB), with 431 strikeouts. Their pitchers have walked 194 batters, resulting in a FIP of 4.74 for the season.
Washington’s bullpen has a save rate of 53.3%, entering 63 save situations, securing 16 saves while failing to convert 14 out of 30 opportunities. Having inherited 76 base runners this season, 46.1% have scored. The Nationals’ pitchers have been called upon with players on base 55 times, featuring 66 high-leverage appearances. A total of 178 relievers have taken the mound this season, with 29 holds thus far (17th in MLB).
The Nationals have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 4,407 innings, placing them 25th in the league. For the current season, Washington has tallied 1,469 putouts, 478 assists, and committed 50 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .975, ranking last in MLB, along with 38 double plays recorded.
Cade Cavalli has pitched 106 innings, recording 107 strikeouts over his MLB career. With a career record of 5-5, Cavalli has a FIP of 4.42 while facing 485 batters. His ERA is 4.49 (allowing 53 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.478 and 121 hits allowed (10.3 hits per nine innings) along with 36 walks.
The Cleveland Guardians have posted an on-base percentage of .320 alongside a batting average of .228 this season. They have struck out 410 times (26th in MLB) and accumulated 409 hits. With 55 home runs and 222 RBIs, the Guardians have a slugging percentage of .373, averaging 4.22 runs per game, ranking 18th in the league. They have achieved 86 doubles, earned 230 walks, and scored 232 runs.
The Guardians’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.248 with a FIP of 3.81 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.50 (515 strikeouts to 189 walks). Ranking 14th in total hits allowed with 419, they have given up 59 home runs, allowing 3.86 runs per nine innings (5th in MLB). Cleveland’s pitchers have conceded 209 runs this year, leading to a team ERA of 3.55 (192 earned runs allowed).
The Guardians rank 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 84.0%, having utilized 179 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered high-leverage situations 65 times and dealt with base runners on 52 occasions. With 74 save opportunities, they have secured 48 holds and recorded 4 blown saves. The Cleveland bullpen has been called upon in 25 save situations, achieving 21 saves, with a 24.4% inherited runner score percentage from 82 inherited runners.
Across their 4,386 innings this season, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (15th in MLB). With 40 double plays executed, their fielding percentage is at .989 (7th in majors). Cleveland has accumulated 420 assists, committed 21 errors, and made 1,462 putouts this season.
Throughout his professional career, Cantillo has yielded 160 hits while amassing 203 strikeouts over 190 innings. He’s allowed 74 earned runs, recording a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.42 after facing 797 opposing batters. Cantillo holds an 11-8 record in his career, with an earned run average of 3.51, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Washington (+125)
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