- Matchup: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-145) Cincinnati (+125)
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The Cincinnati Reds (33-36) are set to host the New York Mets (31-39) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. Current moneyline odds favor New York at -145, while Cincinnati stands at +125. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5. Starters for this matchup include David Peterson and Chase Burns.
This season, the New York Mets boast a slugging percentage of .368 with 573 strikeouts and 192 walks. They have accumulated 267 RBIs and 532 hits, resulting in a batting average of .228. The team has achieved 89 doubles and 74 home runs while scoring a total of 280 runs. On average, the Mets score 4.0 runs per game, placing them 28th in league rankings.
The Mets’ pitching lineup holds a team ERA of 3.89, ranking them 9th in Major League Baseball. They have struck out 640 batters and allowed 67 home runs this season, contributing to a total of 298 runs (11th in the league). Pitchers have issued 251 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.80. New York pitchers have surrendered 549 hits, averaging 7.9 per 9 innings, along with 271 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.55, while the collective WHIP is 1.28.
This season, Mets pitchers have faced runners on base 74 times, with 88 high-pressure appearances. The bullpen has accumulated 27 holds during the season (27th in league standings) and a save percentage of 57.1%, entering 48 save situations and successfully converting 12, with 9 failed opportunities. Collectively, they have inherited 94 runners, with 30.9% scoring. The Mets have utilized 212 relievers this season.
In their defensive efforts, the Mets have converted 70.1% of balls in play into outs across 5,649 innings, ranking them 14th in MLB. They have achieved 1,883 putouts, along with 570 assists and 36 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 20th overall. The team has successfully turned 38 double plays this season.
David Peterson has pitched 683 innings in his career, recording 671 strikeouts. With a career record of 40-35, Peterson has a FIP of 4.20 and has faced 2,957 batters. His earned run average is 4.27, with a WHIP of 1.398, allowing 667 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and issuing 288 walks.
On the other hand, the Cincinnati Reds have a slugging percentage of .392 and are averaging 4.20 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have secured 107 doubles and drawn 269 walks while scoring 290 runs, alongside hitting 87 home runs and achieving 272 RBIs. The team has struck out 644 times (3rd in the league) and accumulated 530 hits, featuring a batting average of .229 and an on-base percentage of .312.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 346 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.69 (321 earned runs). They have permitted 95 home runs, averaging 5.06 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.466, with a team FIP of 5.06. The Reds maintain a K/BB ratio of 1.73 (540 strikeouts against 313 walks) and rank 22nd in total hits allowed, with 590.
In save scenarios, the Reds have registered 44 holds and 14 blown saves. The bullpen has entered the game 30 times for save opportunities, converting 16 successful saves. With an inherited score rate of 27.9%, out of 111 inherited runners, they have made 89 high-leverage appearances and 80 with runners on base. Their save percentage stands at 53.3%, having used 255 bullpen pitchers this season.
Cincinnati has achieved 54 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB), registering 572 assists, 34 errors, and accumulating 1,848 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.5% across 5,544 innings on the field (11th in MLB).
In his professional career, Burns has permitted 93 hits while securing 155 strikeouts in 118 innings pitched. With an ERA of 3.04, he has allowed 40 earned runs and recorded a WHIP of 1.116, while holding a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.97, having faced 485 hitters throughout his career.
Who do you predict will win tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York (-145)
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