- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees
- Scheduled Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+106) New York (-128)
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The New York Yankees (48-36) welcome the Detroit Tigers (36-49) to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. The moneyline for this matchup offers the Tigers at +106 and the Yankees at -128, with the over/under set at 9 runs. Troy Melton and Will Warren are anticipated to take the mound as starting pitchers.
This season, the Detroit Tigers have been scoring an average of 4.1 runs per game, placing them 22nd in Major League Baseball (MLB). They’ve amassed a total of 351 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .315. The team has recorded 130 doubles and hit 95 home runs. Currently, they boast 335 RBIs and have achieved 665 hits, leading to a batting average of .236. Their slugging percentage stands at .394, and they have struck out 732 times while earning 310 walks.
The Tigers hold a team ERA of 3.78 this season, placing them 8th in MLB, having struck out 696 batters. Their pitchers have surrendered 86 home runs and a total of 350 runs (10th in MLB). They’ve issued 259 walks, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) currently sits at 3.90. The pitching staff has allowed 665 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and has recorded 314 earned runs, giving them a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.69 and a combined WHIP of 1.24.
This season, the Tigers’ relief pitchers have faced runners on base 98 times and have appeared in 73 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has secured 38 holds (23rd in MLB) with a save conversion rate of 44.1%, having entered 74 save scenarios and converting 15 saves out of 34 opportunities. Their relief corps has inherited 151 runners, with 29.1% scoring. Throughout the season, the Tigers have utilized 263 relief pitchers.
The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 2,240 putouts, 731 assists, and 40 errors this year. Their fielding percentage is currently .987, ranking them 11th in MLB, having turned 64 double plays. They successfully convert 70.7% of balls in play into outs across 6,720 innings, positioning them 11th in baseball.
Troy Melton has pitched 82 innings, recording 61 strikeouts with an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 2.62 (24 earned runs allowed). His career WHIP is 0.947, allowing 54 hits (5.9 hits per nine innings) and issuing 24 walks. With a career record of 7-3, his FIP stands at 2.58, facing 325 batters in his major league career.
The New York Yankees have achieved an OBP of .321 this season, with a batting average of .238. They rank 7th in the league with 743 strikeouts and have totaled 662 hits. The Yankees have hit 122 home runs and recorded 394 RBIs, demonstrating a team slugging percentage of .425 while scoring an average of 4.90 runs per game (5th in MLB). They’ve also produced 129 doubles and walked 337 times, tallying 412 runs thus far.
The Yankees’ pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.192 with a FIP of 3.60 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is a significant 8.80 (727 strikeouts vs 256 walks). They are 4th in MLB in total hits allowed (630), having given up 74 home runs and allowing an average of 3.81 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). So far, they have surrendered 315 runs with a team ERA of 3.31 (273 earned runs allowed).
The bullpen for the New York Yankees has a scoring rate of 26.2% for inherited runners, having stepped onto the mound 95 times in high-leverage situations and with runners on base. In 74 save opportunities, the bullpen has recorded 40 holds with a 60.6% save percentage, ranking 18th in MLB, and has deployed 274 relief pitchers this season.
In his MLB career, Will Warren has allowed 276 hits while notching 284 strikeouts in 269 innings pitched. With a career mark of 16-14, he possesses an ERA of 4.72, allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings, and has given up 141 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.413, with a FIP of 4.6, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.73, having faced 1,188 hitters throughout his MLB journey.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take New York (-128) and the under on 9 runs
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