- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: ION
- Betting Odds: Minnesota favored by 2.5 points
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This Friday, the Minnesota Lynx (15-4) will take on the New York Liberty (12-8) at Barclays Center. The Lynx are currently 2.5-point favorites in this exciting WNBA matchup, with an over/under set at 172.5 points.
In their last game, the Lynx secured a victory against the Dallas Wings, winning 85-77. Minnesota shot 43.1% from the field (31 of 72) and made 9 of 23 attempts from three-point range. At the free-throw line, they converted 14 out of 17 attempts for a solid 82.4% success rate. On the boards, the Lynx grabbed a total of 36 rebounds, including 9 offensive boards. They also recorded 19 assists, forced 15 turnovers, and made 9 steals during the game. Defensively, Minnesota limited Dallas to a 37.8% shooting percentage (28 out of 74). The Wings managed to dish out 11 assists and had 7 steals, while grabbing a total of 38 rebounds (11 offensive, 27 defensive), along with 3 blocks. Dallas ended with a free-throw rate of 93.3%, hitting 14 out of 15 attempts, and made 7 of their 23 three-point attempts.
Key player Natasha Howard played a pivotal role, finishing with 21 points on 9 of 17 shooting. She logged 36 minutes on the court while collecting 14 rebounds and 2 assists, shooting 52.9% from the field.
Entering this matchup, the Lynx hold a record of 15-4 for the season. They average 13.7 turnovers and 19.4 personal fouls per game. Minnesota pulls in an average of 36.9 rebounds and has achieved a total of 404 assists this season, ranking 4th in the league for assists. The team boasts a three-point shooting percentage of 37.2% (147 of 395) and an impressive free-throw shooting accuracy of 79.0%. The Lynx score an average of 90.5 points per game, placing them 4th overall in the league, and they shoot 48.8% from the field. On defense, Minnesota forces 14.6 turnovers each game while committing 17.6 fouls. They rank 1st in the league for total assists allowed, surrendering 358 this season. The Lynx also hold opponents to a shooting percentage of 39.4%, allowing only 32.6 rebounds per game and ranking 2nd in the WNBA for fewest points allowed per game at 79.3.
Recently, the New York Liberty faced a setback, losing 76-67 to the Golden State Valkyries. During that game, they recorded 20 defensive rebounds along with 4 offensive boards for a total of 24 rebounds. The Liberty turned the ball over 11 times and made 5 steals. They went to the free-throw line 21 times, converting 16 for a rate of 76.2%. From three-point range, New York managed to hit 9 of their 25 attempts (36.0%). Overall, the Liberty’s field goal percentage stood at 40.4% from 21 of 52 attempts. Defensively, they allowed the Valkyries to shoot 43.1% from the floor (28 out of 65) and finished the game allowing 25.0% from beyond the arc, making only 7 of 28 attempts. New York concluded with a 72.2% success rate from the free-throw line, hitting 13 out of 18 attempts, while they let Golden State grab a total of 30 rebounds (7 offensive).
Jonquel Jones was a standout performer for the Liberty, scoring 21 points on 5 of 8 shooting (62.5% shooting rate) alongside 7 rebounds in 27 minutes of play, and contributed with 2 assists.
For the season, New York holds a 12-8 record, scoring a total of 1,756 points (87.8 per game) while averaging 34.6 rebounds. The Liberty commit an average of 19.6 fouls per game and excel at the free-throw line with an impressive 84.6% shooting rate. Offensively, they boast a field goal percentage of 46.0% (4th in the WNBA) and distribute assists at a rate of 20.7 per game (6th in the league). However, they do average 14.2 turnovers per game. Defensively, New York ranks 3rd in the league allowing 83.5 points per game, giving up 20.1 assists and 31.4 rebounds on average, placing them 8th and 4th in those categories, respectively. The Liberty allow opposing teams to shoot 32.1% from three-point range (168 of 524) and teams convert 70.4% of their free throws against them, while forcing an average of 11.0 turnovers and allowing 43.8% shooting overall (6th in the league).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA showdown against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Minnesota (-2.5)
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