Matchup: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: New York Mets (-128) | Cincinnati Reds (+106)
The Cincinnati Reds, sporting a 70-70 record, will host the New York Mets (75-65) at Great American Ball Park this Sunday. The betting odds favor the Mets at -128, while the Reds are positioned at +106. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers are Sean Manaea and Hunter Greene.
This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking 9th in the league. They have amassed 674 runs with a .330 on-base percentage. The Mets have recorded 231 doubles and launched 193 home runs, leading to 658 runs batted in and 1,185 total hits, maintaining a team batting average of .251. Their slugging percentage is .431, with 1,114 strikeouts and 497 walks on the season.
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The Mets have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. They’ve allowed 125 home runs and surrendered a total of 605 runs (15th in MLB). With 1,149 hits allowed (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and 539 earned runs, their season ERA stands at 3.91 (13th in the league), and they have struck out 1,203 batters. The pitching staff has issued 493 walks and their FIP is at 3.86 this year.
Mets’ relief pitchers have faced opponents on base 151 times and have appeared in high leverage scenarios 166 times. So far, they have registered 86 holds (8th in MLB) with a save percentage of 60.7% after entering 147 save situations. They’ve secured 37 saves but have also blown 24 of 61 save opportunities, inheriting 226 base runners, with 34.1% scoring. A total of 458 relief pitchers have been utilized this season.
The Minnesota Twins feature 3,720 putouts this season alongside 1,259 assists and 67 errors, showcasing a solid fielding percentage of .987, ranking 12th in pro baseball with 105 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,160 innings, positioning them 24th in the league.
Sean Manaea has accumulated 1,229 innings pitched, recording 1,168 strikeouts throughout his career. With a 4.06 ERA (allowing 555 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.203, he’s conceded 1,135 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) along with 344 walks. Manaea has a career record of 78-64 and a FIP of 4.00, facing 5,131 batters in total.
This season, the Cincinnati Reds have achieved a team on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .248. They rank 9th in strikeouts with 1,216 K’s, alongside a total of 1,173 hits. Cincinnati has hit 138 home runs and recorded 598 runs batted in, with a team slugging percentage of .393, averaging 4.53 runs per game (13th in MLB). Additionally, they’ve achieved 229 doubles and drawn 456 walks, scoring a total of 634 runs.
The Reds possess a team WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching unit. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.60 (1,186 strikeouts versus 438 walks). They rank 8th in the league for total hits allowed, with 1,111, and have given up 166 home runs, allowing 4.41 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). This season, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has conceded 607 runs, with an ERA of 3.95 (544 earned runs allowed).
With 142 save situations, the Reds have recorded 88 holds and suffered 20 blown saves. They have had relievers enter in 52 save opportunities, accumulating 32 saves. Their relievers have appeared 142 times in high-leverage situations, facing runners on base 127 times. The bullpen has inherited 189 runners this season with a scoring percentage of 32.8%. Ranking 20th in MLB, they possess a save rate of 61.5%, using 481 relievers this year.
The Cincinnati Reds have completed 90 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in professional baseball). They have collected 1,059 assists, committed 80 errors, and recorded 3,719 putouts this season. Over 11,157 innings played, they’ve achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (8th in professional baseball).
Hunter Greene, with a career record of 23-29, has an ERA of 3.69 and has conceded 7.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.45, and he’s faced 1,969 batters in his career. Greene has allowed 193 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.6. He has conceded 375 hits and racked up 586 strikeouts across 471 innings pitched.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on New York (-128)
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