- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-150), Miami (+125)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
On Thursday, the Miami Marlins (22-27) are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves (33-16) at LoanDepot Park. The odds favor Atlanta at -150 while Miami comes in at +125. The total runs are projected at 8. Starting on the mound are Spencer Strider for the Braves and Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins.
The Braves have recorded 83 doubles and 67 home runs this season. They maintain a slugging percentage of .439, with 387 strikeouts and 152 walks. Their offense averages 5.3 runs per game, placing them 2nd in the league. The team has amassed 253 RBIs and 440 hits, with a batting average of .263. This year, the Braves have scored 258 runs, achieving an on-base percentage (OBP) of .328.
Access all our MLB Parlay Picks
The Braves’ pitching staff boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.15. They have allowed 48 home runs along with 168 runs, ranking 3rd in the league. Atlanta has given up 332 hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and 153 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.16, which holds them in the 1st position in the league. Moreover, Braves pitchers have struck out 430 hitters and walked 171 batters, with a FIP of 3.88.
This season, Braves pitchers have entered games with runners on base 28 times and 48 times in high-pressure situations. Their bullpen has managed 28 holds, ranking 10th in MLB, and they have a save rate of 78.9% across 49 save opportunities, achieving 15 saves while failing in 4 attempts. Inheriting 42 runners this season, 28.6% have scored. The Braves have utilized 151 relief pitchers this campaign.
Defensively, the Braves have converted 73.7% of balls in play to outs over 3,924 innings, placing them 1st in the MLB. They have recorded 1,308 putouts, 394 assists, and made 20 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 9th in the league, alongside 33 double plays.
Spencer Strider, with a career record of 40-24, features a FIP of 3.65, having faced 1,939 batters. He has allowed 376 hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 170 walks. His earned run average stands at 3.70 (193 earned runs), complemented by a WHIP of 1.164. Over 469 innings, Strider has achieved 644 strikeouts throughout his MLB career.
The Miami Marlins have launched 39 home runs and accumulated 206 RBIs this year. With 77 doubles, they have drawn 167 walks and scored 217 runs. Miami holds an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .248 this season. Their slugging percentage is .379, contributing to an average of 4.43 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league. They have struck out 398 times, ranking 19th in baseball, and totalled 404 hits.
Miami’s pitching staff has conceded 222 runs this year, maintaining an ERA of 4.23 (202 earned runs allowed). They have permitted 42 home runs and are giving up 4.64 runs per 9 innings, positioning them 20th in MLB. With a WHIP of 1.295, their FIP stands at 3.93 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.60 (410 strikeouts vs. 189 walks), ranking them 7th in the league for total hits surrendered, with 368.
The Miami bullpen has an inherited runners scoring rate of 25.0% out of 52 inherited situations. They have entered the game 44 times in high-leverage scenarios and 36 times with runners on base. With 45 save opportunities, the Marlins have achieved 23 holds and had 9 blown saves, ranking 22nd in the league with a save rate of 57.1%. They have deployed 151 relievers this season.
In a total of 3,876 defensive innings, Miami has a defensive efficiency rating of 70.6% (12th in the majors). The Marlins have completed 33 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). This season, they have recorded 394 assists, 34 errors, and 1,292 putouts.
Sandy Alcantara, with a career record of 55-69, holds a 3.64 earned run average and allows 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.79, having faced 4,692 opposing batters. With a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 3.6, he has yielded 461 earned runs while allowing 994 hits and collecting 976 strikeouts over 1,138 innings pitched.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+125) and the under on 8 runs
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
