- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (-152) Tampa Bay (+126)
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Tropicana Field will host the showdown between the Tampa Bay Rays (29-15) and the Baltimore Orioles (20-26) this Wednesday. The betting line places the Orioles at -152 and the Rays at +126, with a total set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this contest will be Shane Baz and Steven Matz.
The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 80 doubles and hit 49 home runs as a squad. They are currently slugging at .384 and have struck out 435 times, accepting 182 walks. Collectively, the Orioles are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranked 15th in MLB. With 202 RBIs and 361 hits on the season, their batting average stands at .232. In total, they have plated 205 runs, boasting an on-base percentage (OBP) of .315.
Baltimore holds a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.44. The Orioles’ pitchers have allowed 57 home runs and have given up a total of 249 runs (28th in MLB). They have conceded 419 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and recorded 218 earned runs. The team’s ERA is 4.74, placing them 25th in MLB, while they have struck out 386 batters. Their total walks stand at 177, and their team FIP is 4.43.
So far this season, the Orioles have used 161 relief pitchers. These relievers inherited 58 runners, with a scoring rate of 17.2%. They have achieved 27 holds this year, ranking 11th in baseball. Orioles pitchers have come into games with runners on base 40 times and have made 45 appearances in high-leverage situations. They have secured 13 saves but unfortunately have blown 4 of their 17 save chances, giving them a save percentage of 76.5% in 45 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Orioles have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs over 3,729 innings of play, ranking them 29th in MLB. Baltimore has logged 1,243 putouts, 389 assists, and 28 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in the league), with 37 double plays recorded.
Shane Baz has pitched 337 innings and struck out 335 batters throughout his career. With a win-loss record of 18-22, Baz possesses a FIP of 4.34, having faced 1,424 batters in Major League Baseball. His ERA stands at 4.41, allowing 165 earned runs and establishing a career WHIP of 1.273. He has conceded 304 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 125 walks.
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit 38 home runs and amassed 194 RBIs this season. They have notched 57 doubles, taken 151 walks, and scored 207 runs. The Rays hold a team OBP of .331 and a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage stands at .383, with an average of 4.60 runs per game (ranking 9th in the league). However, they have struck out 322 times (29th in the league) and recorded 391 hits.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 3.99 for the ongoing season. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.70 (348 strikeouts against 142 walks). The Rays rank 6th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 340. They have issued 46 home runs and allowed an average of 4.03 runs per nine innings, ranking 6th in the league. The pitching staff has allowed 182 runs overall with an ERA of 3.59 (162 earned runs).
In 66 save situations, the Rays have accumulated 38 holds and have 8 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon in 28 save opportunities, successfully converting 20 saves. Tampa Bay’s relief pitchers have an inherited run scoring rate of 25.0% from 60 inherited runners and have appeared 55 times in high-leverage situations, with 46 instances having runners on base. They rank 7th overall in MLB with a save percentage of 71.4% and have deployed 148 relief pitchers thus far.
During the course of 3,660 innings played, the Rays have achieved a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (3rd in the majors). They have turned 28 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 371 assists, made 31 errors, and logged 1,220 putouts so far this season.
Steven Matz has allowed 1,051 hits in his career, recording 968 strikeouts over 1,041 innings pitched. With a career record of 64-63, Matz has an earned run average of 4.18 and allows 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 484 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.1. His career K/BB ratio stands at 3.18, having faced a total of 4,432 opposing batters.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+126)
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