- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date of Game: Sunday, June 7, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+102) Toronto (-122)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (29-33) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (29-33) at Rogers Centre this Sunday. The odds favor the Orioles at +102, while the Blue Jays are positioned at -122. The total runs over/under is set at 9, with Shane Baz and Kevin Gausman set to take the mound as starting pitchers.
This season, the Orioles have recorded 100 doubles and launched 70 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .396, with a total of 554 strikeouts compared to 240 walks. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game, placing them 12th in the league. They have accumulated 275 RBIs and 495 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .240, with a total of 280 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .320.
Currently, the Orioles own a team ERA of 4.65, ranking 25th in MLB, and their pitchers have struck out 490 batters. The pitching staff has allowed 69 home runs and 323 runs, placing them 26th in the league. With 227 walks issued, their FIP is 4.30 for the season. Baltimore’s pitching has given up 557 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and 284 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and a collective WHIP of 1.43.
The Orioles’ relief pitchers have a save conversion rate of 68.2%, having entered 56 save situations. They have secured 15 saves this season, failing to convert on 7 of 22 opportunities. The bullpen has inherited 79 baserunners this year, with 20.3% crossing home plate. Orioles relievers have faced runners 56 times and made 61 high-leverage appearances, deploying 210 pitchers throughout the season, accumulating 33 holds, ranking 16th in MLB.
This season, the Baltimore Orioles have tallied 1,648 putouts, 529 assists, and 33 errors. Their fielding percentage is .985, which ranks 20th among Major League teams, and they have executed 50 double plays. The Orioles have managed to convert 68.1% of balls in play into outs over 4,944 innings, placing them 28th in professional baseball.
Shane Baz, in his career, has a record of 20-22, with a FIP of 4.20, having faced 1,501 batters in the majors. He has allowed 317 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and issued 132 walks. His earned run average currently stands at 4.26 (169 earned runs allowed), accompanied by a WHIP of 1.257 across 357 innings pitched, tallying 356 strikeouts to date.
On the other hand, the Toronto Blue Jays have hit 59 home runs this season along with 238 RBIs. They have also notched 100 doubles while drawing 178 walks, scoring 250 runs. The Blue Jays maintain an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .244 this year. Their slugging percentage is .380, yielding an average of 4.03 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the league. They have been struck out 446 times (29th in the league) and amassed 508 hits.
The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.277 and a team FIP of 3.72 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.00 (548 strikeouts vs. 199 walks), placing them 16th in pitching staff for total hits allowed with a tally of 500. They have surrendered 60 home runs, controlling 4.31 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff has allowed 262 runs this season, resulting in an ERA of 3.96 (241 earned runs allowed).
With 70 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 41 holds and 11 blown saves. The bullpen has entered 27 save opportunities, successfully converting 16 into saves. Blue Jays relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.0% out of 96 inherited runners and have pitched in high-leverage situations 75 times, while encountering runners on 69 occasions. Currently, they rank 20th in the league with a save rate of 59.3%, deploying 233 bullpen pitchers throughout the season.
Toronto has executed 49 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have totaled 526 assists, 40 errors, and 1,643 putouts for the current season. Over their 4,929 innings on the field, they boast a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (27th in MLB).
Throughout his career, Kevin Gausman has allowed 1,903 hits while striking out 2,028 batters across 1,986 innings of work. With a record of 116-117, Gausman holds a 3.80 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings pitched. He has given up 838 earned runs, earning a WHIP of 1.235 and a FIP of 3.7. Gausman’s K/BB ratio is 3.69, having faced 8,291 batters throughout his MLB tenure.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Go with Toronto (-122) and bet on under 9 runs
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