- Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan: Fight Preview
- UFC Event: Vegas 122
- Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
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Mark your calendars! Brendan Allen will go head-to-head with Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The betting odds place Allen at -140, while Duncan stands at +120.
Brendan “All In” Allen boasts an impressive career record of 27 wins and 7 losses (27-7-0). At 30 years old, he weighs 185 lbs and stands 6’2″ tall, with a reach of 75 inches. In contrast, Christian “CLD” Leroy Duncan, aged 31, also measures 6’2″ and weighs in at 185 lbs. He holds a record of 15-2-0 and has a reach of 79 inches. When it comes to striking, Allen averages 3.75 significant strikes landed per minute, while Duncan impressively lands 4.45 strikes per minute. Allen has a striking accuracy of 52%, while Duncan has a slightly higher accuracy of 57%. On the defensive side, Allen absorbs 3.78 significant strikes per minute, whereas Duncan only takes in 2.36 strikes per minute, with Allen blocking 47% of incoming strikes and Duncan managing to block 54%.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Brendan Allen | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -140 | +120 |
| Record | 27-7-0 | 15-2-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 11:19 | 10:33 |
| Height | 6’2″ | 6’2″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75″ | 79″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 57% |
On the ground, Brendan Allen holds a notable advantage in grappling, executing takedowns 1.52 times every 15 minutes. He successfully completes 41% of his takedown attempts and defends against 57% of his opponent’s takedown efforts. Christian Leroy Duncan, however, manages to secure a takedown on 20% of his attempts and also blocks 57% of opposing takedowns. In terms of submission attempts, Allen averages 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds, compared to Duncan’s 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.
In his recent Octagon appearance, Brendan Allen faced Edmen Shahbazyan, securing victory by unanimous decision after round 3. Shahbazyan managed to connect on 90 of 180 total strikes, while Allen achieved 91 of 196 strikes. Shahbazyan’s significant strikes stood at 90 out of 180, yielding a 50% accuracy rate. He landed 83 of 171 significant strikes directed to the head. Conversely, Allen had a significant strike accuracy of 45%, hitting 89 of 194 attempts, with 61 of those being to the head. Remarkably, the majority of strikes—94% for Shahbazyan and 88% for Allen—were landed at distance.
In his latest bout, Christian Leroy Duncan squared off against Jared Cannonier, clinching victory by unanimous decision after round 3. Cannonier landed 40% of his significant strikes from distance, whereas Duncan exhibited a higher accuracy rate of 63%. He achieved 68 out of 117 significant strikes attempted, including 37 out of 85 aimed at the head. Cannonier only connected on 15 of 46 significant strikes, landing 7 out of 36 targeted at the head. Overall, Cannonier struck 36 out of 69 total strikes, while Duncan demonstrated superior accuracy with 94 out of 148 total strikes thrown.
Keep an eye on the matchup between Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert. Camilo enters the Octagon with a record of 11 wins and 3 losses (11-3-0), standing at 5’10” and weighing 155 lbs. He is an orthodox fighter with a reach of 69 inches. Jai Herbert, standing at 6’1″ and also weighing 155 lbs, has a record of 14-6-1. In terms of grappling, Camilo averages 4.16 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Herbert averages just 0.42. Regarding striking, Camilo lands 2.22 strikes per minute with a 43% accuracy, while Herbert strikes at a rate of 3.19 per minute with an accuracy of 41%.
Another matchup to keep on your radar is Kai Kamaka III vs. Andre Fili. Fili boasts a record of 25-14-0 (1 NC), stands at 5’11”, and weighs 145 lbs, with a reach of 74 inches. On the other hand, Kamaka III measures 5’7″ and also weighs 145 lbs, holding a record of 18-8-1. Fili averages a takedown defense rate of 71% and completes takedowns 46% of the time, while Kamaka III succeeds in 53% of his takedown attempts, defending against 55% of opponents’ attempts. In striking, Fili absorbs 4.55 strikes per minute and lands 3.89, while Kamaka III takes 6.03 strikes per minute but lands 5.49.
Who will triumph in this key UFC showdown?
Prediction: Take Brendan Allen (-140)
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