- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcasting: Braves.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+132) vs Atlanta (-160)
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The Chicago Cubs (27-14) are set to visit Truist Park this Tuesday to challenge the Atlanta Braves (28-13). The moneyline is current with Chicago at +132 and Atlanta at -160, alongside an over/under of 8 runs. Expected to start for each team are Colin Rea for the Cubs and Grant Holmes for the Braves.
This season, the Chicago Cubs are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking them 3rd in the league. With 215 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .347, the Cubs have achieved 65 doubles and hit 51 home runs. They have also accumulated 198 RBIs and 351 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .252. The Cubs’ slugging percentage stands at .417 with 328 strikeouts and 191 walks recorded this year.
As of now, the Cubs have a collective ERA of 3.81, placing them 9th in the league, with their pitching staff delivering 337 strikeouts. They have allowed 50 home runs and a total of 168 runs (10th in the league) while walking 129 batters. Their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) currently sits at 4.21, with 309 hits surrendered (averaging 7.6 hits per 9 innings) and 155 earned runs. The K/BB ratio is 2.61 alongside a WHIP of 1.20 for the Cubs on the season.
In save situations, Cubs relievers have a success rate of 60.0%, having entered 27 save opportunities with 9 conversions so far, failing to secure 6 out of 15 chances. They have inherited 59 runners this season, allowing 28.8% to score. Cubs pitchers have faced runners in scoring position 42 times, with 40 high leverage appearances throughout the year. This season, 122 relief pitchers have been used, yielding 9 holds (ranked 30th in MLB).
On defense, the Cubs have 1,098 putouts, 375 assists, and 20 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 15th overall. They have successfully turned 30 double plays and converted 72.5% of balls in play into outs across 3,294 innings (3rd in professional baseball).
Pitcher Colin Rea has accumulated 644 innings and 528 strikeouts in his professional career, holding a 4.39 ERA (314 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.275. He’s given up 627 hits and issued 194 walks over his career, with a FIP of 4.32 after facing 2,732 hitters, and boasts a record of 41-28.
The Atlanta Braves have recorded 57 home runs and 223 RBIs this season, hitting 73 doubles, while their OBP is .334 and team batting average is .270. They lead the league with a slugging percentage of .450 and score an average of 5.56 runs per game (1st in baseball). The Braves have struck out 323 times (21st in the league) with 383 hits so far this year.
As a pitching unit, the Braves have a WHIP of 1.159 and a FIP of 3.91, boasting a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (359 strikeouts against 142 walks). They lead the league in total hits allowed at 280, having given up 41 home runs and allowing 3.49 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). Their current team ERA stands at 3.14, with 141 total runs allowed this season.
With 43 save opportunities, Atlanta has secured 25 holds and 3 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 16 games in save situations, converting 13 saves. The relievers have inherited 27.0% of runners this season and have faced high leverage situations 40 times. Atlanta is currently 2nd in MLB with an impressive save percentage of 81.3%, having used 125 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Braves have achieved a 73.4% efficiency rate (1st in baseball) across 3,276 innings. They have registered 31 double plays, with an impressive fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball). This season, Atlanta has tallied 328 assists, made 17 errors, and racked up 1,092 putouts.
In his MLB career, Grant Holmes has allowed 198 hits over 220 innings with 222 strikeouts, giving him a 3.92 ERA and a FIP of 3.9. He’s surrendered 96 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.290 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.58 after facing 934 batters; his career record stands at 8-11.
Which team will cover the spread or claim victory against the moneyline tonight?
Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (-160)
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