- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+150) New York (-182)
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The New York Mets (22-32) will face off against the Cincinnati Reds (28-25) at Citi Field this Wednesday. The current odds place the Reds at +150 while the Mets open at -182, with the total runs projected at 9. Starting pitchers for the game are Andrew Abbott and Jonah Tong.
The Cincinnati Reds have hit a total of 82 doubles and launched 68 home runs this season. They currently sport a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 490 times while drawing 204 walks. As a unit, the Reds are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 13th in Major League Baseball. They have also tallied 222 RBIs and 402 hits so far, maintaining a team batting average of .226 and scoring 236 runs with an on-base percentage of .310.
The Reds have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.70 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. This season, Reds pitchers have given up 73 home runs and a total of 265 runs, ranking 25th in the league. They have allowed 448 hits (averaging 8.5 per 9 innings) and 249 earned runs, leading to a 4.72 ERA (25th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 414 strikeouts while allowing 244 walks, with a team FIP standing at 5.03.
Relief pitchers for the Reds have entered games with runners on 56 occasions and have appeared in 64 critical situations this season. The bullpen has secured 39 holds, placing them 6th in the league, while achieving a 56.5% save rate from 63 save opportunities. They have converted 13 of those save chances and have blown 10 out of 23. The relief corps have inherited 76 runners this season, with 30.3% of those runners scoring. Cincinnati has utilized 198 relief pitchers throughout the year.
Defensively, the Reds have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs across 4,269 innings, ranking 9th in professional baseball. They have recorded 1,423 putouts this season along with 450 assists and 23 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .988, which puts them also at 9th in MLB, with 48 double plays executed.
Abbott (32-25 career record) holds a FIP of 3.44 and has pitched against 1,976 batters during his career. He has surrendered 432 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 165 walks. Abbott’s ERA stands at 3.49 (182 earned runs allowed), and he maintains a career WHIP of 1.272. He has pitched 469 innings, striking out 421 batters over his career.
The Mets have a current slugging percentage of .350, averaging 3.85 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have accumulated 69 doubles, 158 walks, and scored 208 runs with 47 home runs and 198 RBIs. New York has struck out 434 times (20th in the league) and recorded 411 hits, with a batting average of .227 and an on-base percentage of .293.
On the pitching front, the Mets have given up 234 runs, sporting a team ERA of 3.90 (210 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 48 home runs and average conceding 4.35 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Mets exhibit a WHIP of 1.283 and possess a team FIP of 3.67, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.30 (502 strikeouts against 197 walks). They rank 13th in league total hits allowed, with 424.
The Mets are 23rd in save percentage at 57.1%, having used 159 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered high leverage situations 71 times and faced 59 batters with runners on base. In 32 save opportunities, they have accumulated 18 holds and 6 blown saves. The bullpen has been called in for 14 save chances, converting 8 into saves. Additionally, New York’s relievers have a 35.5% inherited scoring percentage out of 76 inherited base runners.
In 4,359 defensive innings, the Mets have a 69.7% defensive efficiency rating (22nd in MLB). They have induced 30 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB), recording 443 assists and 28 errors with a total of 1,453 putouts so far this season.
Tong (2-3 career record) has a 6.79 earned run average, allowing 10.2 hits per 9 innings pitched. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.40, and he has faced 96 batters in his MLB career. He has given up 16 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.604 and a FIP of 6.7. Throughout his tenure, Tong has allowed 24 hits while striking out 24 in his 21 innings on the mound.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the odds?
Pick: Choose Cincinnati (+150)
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