- Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, June 7, 2026
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (-128) vs. St. Louis (+106)
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The Cincinnati Reds (31-30) are set to face the St. Louis Cardinals (32-28) at Busch Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline currently shows Cincinnati at -128, while St. Louis is positioned at +106. The over/under for this matchup is established at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this encounter are Rhett Lowder and Michael McGreevy.
This season, Cincinnati boasts a slugging percentage of .395 with 573 strikeouts and 236 walks. They have accumulated 249 RBIs and 468 hits, leading to a batting average of .229. The Reds have registered 98 doubles and 77 home runs so far. With 264 total runs scored, their on-base percentage stands at .312, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in Major League Baseball.
Cincinnati’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.71, and the pitching unit holds a collective WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have given up 88 home runs and 305 runs this season, placing them 24th in MLB. Cincinnati’s 515 hits equate to 8.5 hits allowed per nine innings, with 289 earned runs leading to a team ERA of 4.76 (27th in the league). The pitching staff has recorded 476 strikeouts, with 279 walks issued, and a FIP of 5.14 for the year.
The Reds’ bullpen has achieved a 58.3% save percentage, having participated in 66 save situations, securing 14 saves while missing 10 of 24 opportunities. This season, the relief pitchers have inherited 87 base runners, with 28.7% of those runners scoring. The Reds’ pitchers have entered games with runners on base 64 times, appearing in 67 high-leverage situations. A total of 225 relievers have taken the mound this year, with 41 holds recorded, ranking 6th in MLB.
The Reds have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs over 4,917 innings, placing 9th in MLB. Cincinnati has achieved 1,639 putouts, 504 assists, and 26 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .988, ranked 7th in professional baseball, along with 51 double plays executed.
Lowder has pitched 68 innings this season, amassing 49 career strikeouts. With a career record of 5-5, Lowder has a FIP of 3.50 and has faced 294 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.56 (allowing 27 earned runs), coupled with a career WHIP of 1.362. Lowder has given up 61 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and issued 32 walks.
The Cardinals have a team slugging percentage of .384, averaging 4.28 runs per game (17th in MLB). They’ve hit 84 doubles, recorded 195 walks, and scored 257 runs. St. Louis has belted 65 home runs this season and registered 250 RBIs, with 487 hits accumulated. The Cardinals maintain an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .240 so far this year.
On the mound, the Cardinals have allowed 269 runs and possess a team ERA of 4.15 (yielding 249 earned runs). They’ve given up 61 home runs and allow 4.48 runs per 9 innings (15th overall). The team’s WHIP stands at 1.357, with a FIP of 4.20 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.70 (465 strikeouts to 212 walks), with 24th position in total hits allowed (521).
St. Louis is ranked 13th in the league for save percentage at 66.7%, using 211 relievers throughout the season. The relief pitchers have faced high-leverage situations on 75 occasions and with runners on base 68 times. The Cardinals have recorded 48 holds while encountering 10 blown saves. In 30 save opportunities, St. Louis has converted 20 saves, with a 34.0% inherited runner scoring rate from their 97 inherited runners.
Across 4,866 innings, the Cardinals have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (24th in MLB). With a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB), they’ve turned 58 double plays, with 566 assists, 31 errors, and 1,622 putouts recorded this season.
McGreevy, in his career, has given up 172 hits and accumulated 120 strikeouts over 184 innings pitched. Holding a record of 14-9, McGreevy has a 3.61 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings with a total of 74 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.145, alongside a FIP of 3.6. He has faced 748 batters, maintaining a 3.08 K/BB ratio.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Cincinnati (-128)
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