- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Cleveland (+220) Seattle (-275)
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The Seattle Mariners, who finished last season with a record of 90-72, are set to face off against the Cleveland Guardians, who completed their previous campaign at 88-74, at T-Mobile Park this Friday. Currently, the odds show Cleveland at +220 and Seattle at -275. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, with pitchers Gavin Williams and George Kirby stepping onto the mound.

In terms of team performance, the Cleveland Guardians averaged 4.0 runs per game, placing them 28th in Major League Baseball. They totaled 643 runs with a team on-base percentage of .296. Cleveland also secured 243 doubles, hit 168 home runs, and achieved 621 RBIs through 1,199 hits, finishing the season with a batting average of .226. Their slugging percentage stood at .373, alongside 1,344 strikeouts and 494 walks during the past season.
The Guardians posted a K/BB ratio of 2.62, while their pitching staff maintained a collective WHIP of 1.26. They allowed 169 home runs and 649 runs overall, ranking 8th in the league. Cleveland’s pitching staff recorded 1,291 hits against them, yielding 593 earned runs for a team earned run average of 3.70, putting them 5th in MLB. They struck out 1,381 batters, issued 527 walks, and their FIP registered at 3.95 for the previous season.
The Guardians’ bullpen faced runners on base 151 times and entered 192 high-leverage situations, recording 112 holds last season (2nd in MLB). Their relief pitchers posted a save percentage of 68.1%, stepping into 184 save opportunities, achieving 47 saves while failing on 22 occasions out of 69. The bullpen inherited 209 runners, with 32.5% scoring. They sent 531 relievers to the mound throughout the prior season.
Throughout the previous season, the Cincinnati Reds achieved 4,326 putouts, 1,330 assists, and 99 errors, finishing with a fielding percentage of .985, ranking them 21st in MLB. They converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 12,978 innings, placing them 17th in the league.
Gavin Williams has pitched 325 innings in his Major League career, recording 333 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.54 (128 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.292, having allowed 268 hits (7.4 per nine innings) and 152 walks. Williams holds an 18-20 career win-loss record and has faced 1,381 batters throughout his MLB tenure, with a FIP of 3.49.
The Seattle Mariners posted a team OBP of .320 and a batting average of .244 last season. They struck out 1,446 times, ranking 6th in the league, and accumulated 1,345 hits. Seattle hit 238 home runs and recorded 734 RBIs, achieving a team slugging percentage of .420. They averaged 4.73 runs per game, ranking 10th in baseball, and logged 234 doubles, earning 544 walks and totaling 766 runs.
The Mariners’ pitching staff concluded the prior season with a WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 3.98, ranking 15th in total hits allowed with 1,331. In 2022, the Seattle pitching staff allowed 694 runs and registered a team ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio settled at 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts against 454 walks). They permitted 192 home runs and allowed 4.27 runs per nine innings, placing 13th in the league.
The Mariners’ bullpen faced 147 inherited base runners, scoring at a rate of 25.2%. They appeared 216 times in high leverage situations and 132 times with runners on base. Finishing the season with 159 save chances, they achieved 90 holds and blew 26 saves, ranking 19th in the league with a save rate of 62.3%. The Mariners called 550 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season, completing 69 save opportunities with 43 saves.
In their total of 13,164 innings, the Mariners achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB), turning 118 double plays and recording a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). They contributed 1,355 assists, 69 errors, and completed 4,388 putouts throughout the last season.
In his career, George Kirby has allowed 616 hits and registered 621 strikeouts over 637 innings. He has given up 254 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.113 and a FIP of 3.5. Kirby boasts a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6.68, having faced 2,601 batters in his professional career. With a win-loss record of 45-34, his career ERA stands at 3.59, conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take Cleveland (+220)
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