- Matchup: Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert
- Event: UFC Vegas 122
- Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
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On Saturday, October 3, 2026, Matheus Camilo is set to clash with Jai Herbert at UFC Vegas 122. The opening odds favor Camilo at -195, while Herbert is positioned at +165.
Competing under the moniker “Jaguar,” Matheus Camilo boasts a record of 11 wins, 3 losses, and no draws as he enters the cage. The 25-year-old fighter weighs in at 155 pounds and stands at 5’10”. Camilo employs an orthodox stance with a reach of 69 inches. Meanwhile, Jai “Black Country Banger” Herbert stands tall at 6’1″ and also weighs 155 pounds. With a record of 14 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw, the 38-year-old Herbert has a reach of 77 inches. Examining their striking stats, Camilo averages 2.22 significant strikes landed per minute compared to Herbert’s 3.19. Camilo achieves a striking accuracy of 43%, while Herbert’s accuracy sits at 41%. In terms of defense, “Jaguar” absorbs 3.05 significant strikes per minute, while “Black Country Banger” takes in 3.34. Camilo successfully defends against 66% of significant strikes aimed at him, whereas Herbert defends against 52%.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Matheus Camilo | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -195 | +165 |
| Record | 11-3-0 | 14-6-1 |
| Average Fight Duration | 8:25 | 10:42 |
| Height | 5’10” | 6’1″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 69″ | 77″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.22 | 3.19 |
| Striking Precision | 43% | 41% |
In wrestling, Matheus Camilo exhibits greater proficiency, executing takedowns at a rate of 4.16 per three rounds, converting 53% of his attempts, while successfully defending against 15% of opponent takedowns. Conversely, Herbert succeeds on only 21% of his takedown attempts and defends against 66% of takedown attempts from his rivals. Camilo is also the more adept submission grappler, attempting 0.6 submission finishes per three rounds, while Herbert averages 0.3.
In his previous Octagon appearance, Matheus Camilo squared off against Nazim Sadykhov, securing victory via a first-round knockout. Sadykhov failed to land any of his 16 total strikes, while Camilo connected on 4 of 10 attempts. Notably, Sadykhov’s significant strike accuracy was 0% with 0 successful hits to the head, whereas Camilo managed a 40% connection rate, successfully landing 4 of 10 significant strikes, 3 of which were targeted at the head. A total of 33% of Sadykhov’s significant strikes were launched from afar, while 50% of Camilo’s strikes were thrown at distance.
For Jai Herbert, his last bout saw him defeat Mandel Nallo with a first-round punch while on the ground. Nallo recorded a staggering 93% success rate on significant strikes from a distance, while Herbert landed 36% of his distance strikes. Herbert’s performance included 19 successful out of 28 significant strikes, including 18 directed at the head. Nallo connected on 16 of 31 significant strikes throughout the match, landing 13 of those shots aimed at the head. Overall, Herbert registered 30 successful strikes out of a total of 43 attempts.
One exciting matchup to look for is Andre Fili taking on Kai Kamaka III. Fili enters this contest with a record of 25-14-0 (1 NC). At 36 years old, he carries a weight of 145 lbs and stands at 5’11” with a wingspan of 74″. Kamaka III, at 5’7″, competes at 145 lbs, boasting an 18-8-1 career record. His wingspan measures 69″. Fili averages 2.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Kamaka III executes 1.45 takedowns in the same timeframe. In terms of striking output, Fili lands 3.89 strikes per minute with a 37% accuracy, while Kamaka III is more precise with a 59% connection rate, landing an average of 5.49 strikes per minute.
Another compelling confrontation will see Otari Tanzilovi face off against Malcolm Wellmaker. Wellmaker holds a record of 10-2-0, stands 5’10” tall, and weighs 135 lbs at 32 years of age. Meanwhile, Tanzilovi, at 5’9″ and weighing 135 lbs, mirrors the same impressive 10-2-0 record. Wellmaker demonstrates a 46% takedown defense rate and a 15% completion rate for his attempted takedowns, while Tanzilovi boasts a slightly better 36% takedown success rate and an impressive 85% takedown defense. When it comes to striking, Wellmaker lands 4.58 strikes per minute while absorbing 4.23 strikes, whereas Tanzilovi matches these figures with 4.20 strikes both absorbed and landed per minute.
Who’s your pick for the UFC match tonight against the spread?
Prediction: Back Jai Herbert (+165)
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