- Matchup: New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: New York favored by 1.5 points
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On Saturday, Gainbridge Fieldhouse will host a thrilling matchup between the Indiana Fever (14-10) and the New York Liberty (13-11). The Fever enter the game as 1.5-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 173.5.
In their recent outing, the New York Liberty faced the Toronto Tempo and suffered a narrow defeat, falling 93-91. The Liberty managed a field goal percentage of 43.4%, converting 33 of their 76 attempts and only hitting 5 out of 26 from beyond the arc. However, they excelled at the free-throw line, sinking 20 of 22 attempts for a remarkable 90.9% success rate. On the boards, New York collected 33 rebounds, 10 of which were offensive, alongside 16 assists and forcing the opposition into 23 turnovers, resulting in 11 steals. Defensively, they struggled, allowing Toronto a 51.5% shooting percentage (34 of 66). Toronto recorded 5 assists, 10 steals, and grabbed 30 rebounds (5 offensive, 25 defensive), making 3 blocks. Toronto’s free-throw percentage was impressive as well, shooting 88.9% by making 16 of 18 attempts, while connecting on 9 out of 24 three-point attempts.
Sabrina Ionescu was a standout performer, contributing significantly with 28 points on 9 of 18 shooting. Over 33 minutes on the court, she also grabbed 4 rebounds and dished out 8 assists, showcasing her all-around game.
The New York Liberty currently holds a 13-11 record for the season. Averaging 87.8 points per game (8th in the WNBA), the team boasts a shooting percentage of 45.9% from the field. The Liberty have found success beyond the arc, hitting 34.5% of their three-point attempts (237 of 686) and an excellent 85.6% at the free-throw line. They average 34.4 rebounds per game and have notched 491 assists this season, placing them 6th in the league in assists. However, they also commit 14.3 turnovers and 19.0 fouls per game as a team. Defensively, the Liberty force opponents into 11.3 turnovers per game while averaging 21.0 fouls. Currently, the defense ranks 9th in assists allowed, with 493 conceded this season. Opponents are shooting 43.9% against them (271 of 505), and New York gives up an average of 31.9 rebounds per game, while limiting opponents to 32.9% shooting from three, positioning them 4th in points allowed per game at 84.5.
In their last matchup, the Indiana Fever fell to the Golden State Valkyries, losing 88-75. They recorded 26 rebounds in total, with 16 defensive and 10 offensive boards. The Fever coughed up the ball 15 times, but managed 8 steals. The Valkyries committed 16 fouls, leading to 16 free-throw opportunities for the Fever, who converted 12 for a 75.0% success rate. From three-point range, Indiana made 9 of 25 attempts (36.0%). Overall, they shot 40.3% from the field, making 27 of 67 shots. The Fever allowed the Valkyries to shoot 51.7% (30 of 58) and ended with a three-point percentage of 33.3%, hitting 8 of 24 attempts, along with an outstanding free-throw percentage of 87.0% (20 of 23). Indiana allowed Golden State 30 rebounds in total, with 6 coming from offensive boards.
Kelsey Mitchell was notable for the Fever, scoring 20 points on 7 of 16 shooting, along with 1 rebound and 4 assists in 35 minutes of play.
The Indiana Fever holds a 14-10 record this season. They have scored a collective 2,237 points, averaging 93.2 points per game while securing 34.2 rebounds per contest. The Fever commit an average of 23.1 fouls per game and excel at the free-throw line with an 82.2% success rate. Offensively, they shoot 47.0% from the field, ranking 3rd in the league, and provide 20.3 assists per game (7th in NBA). However, they also give up 14.4 turnovers per game. Defensively, Indiana ranks 11th in points allowed (89.0 per game), permitting opponents 32.9% shooting from three (164 of 498) and allowing a 79.1% free-throw percentage. They average 19.4 assists and 30.4 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 4th and 2nd in the WNBA, respectively. They force 12.3 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot 45.9% from the field (8th in the league).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s contest against the spread?
Prediction: New York (-1.5)
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