- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles
- Event Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN
- Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-160), Baltimore (+132)
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The Baltimore Orioles (24-30) are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (34-17) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this Tuesday. The moneyline for this contest shows the Rays at -160 while the Orioles are positioned at +132. The over/under is pegged at 8.5. Starting pitchers for the game will be Griffin Jax and Shane Baz.
The Rays have accumulated 71 doubles and hit 41 home runs so far this season. They hold a slugging percentage of .388 and have been struck out 355 times, alongside 174 walks. Collectively, Tampa Bay averages 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 8th in MLB. They have recorded 222 RBIs and 437 hits, with a team batting average of .260 and a total of 236 runs scored, boasting an on-base percentage of .335.
The Rays’ pitching staff boasts an ERA of 3.51, ranking 5th in the league, and they have struck out 387 batters. They have allowed 53 home runs along with 196 total runs (6th in MLB). The team has issued 154 walks, with a FIP of 4.00 this season. Tampa Bay has conceded 383 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings, with 176 earned runs. They hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.19.
Rays relievers have a save percentage of 74.2%, having entered 72 save situations this season. They have recorded 23 saves out of 31 attempts but have blown 8 chances. With 61 inherited base runners, 24.6% scored. Their pitchers have come into play with runners on base 47 times, involved in high-leverage situations 60 times. This year, 160 relief pitchers have taken the mound, achieving 41 holds for the team (4th in MLB).
Tampa Bay has achieved 1,352 putouts this season, with 412 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .982, ranking 28th in MLB, and they have turned 33 double plays. The Rays convert 72.3% of balls in play into outs across 4,056 innings, landing them 3rd in the majors.
Griffin Jax has pitched 384 innings, earning 429 strikeouts over his career. With a 24-33 lifetime record, he carries a FIP of 3.95, having faced 1,600 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.01, allowing 171 earned runs and holding a WHIP of 1.169. Jax has given up 330 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings and has issued 119 walks.
On the flip side, the Orioles feature a team slugging percentage of .387, averaging 4.30 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have earned 89 doubles, drawn 203 walks, and plated 228 runs. With 58 home runs this season, they’ve registered 224 RBIs and been struck out 489 times (3rd in MLB) with 408 total hits. Their team OBP is .314, and their batting average rests at .232.
Baltimore’s pitching staff records a WHIP of 1.438 and a collective FIP of 4.37. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (427 strikeouts against 198 walks) and rank 27th in the league for total hits allowed (471). They have surrendered 62 home runs and are yielding 5.51 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB), with a team ERA of 4.86 (251 earned runs allowed) for the season.
Orioles relievers possess a 20.0% success rate for inherited runners, stepping onto the mound in high-leverage situations 49 times and facing runners on base 48 times. In 51 save situations, they have achieved 31 holds while failing in 5 attempts. Their save percentage is impressive at 73.7%, positioning them 5th in MLB. The Orioles have utilized 181 relievers throughout the season.
In 4,188 innings played, the Orioles have an efficiency rate of 68.1% on defense (28th in MLB). They’ve turned 40 double plays, maintaining a .984 fielding rate (25th in MLB) with 438 assists, 30 errors, and 1,396 putouts recorded this year.
Shane Baz, with an 18-22 career win-loss record, displays a 4.35 earned run average while yielding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.66, having faced 1,446 opponents throughout his MLB career. He has conceded 166 earned runs and recorded a WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.3. Baz has allowed 306 hits while striking out 341 batters over 343 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Baltimore (+132)
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