- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+125) Boston (-150)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
This Sunday, the Tampa Bay Rays (25-12) head to Fenway Park to challenge the Boston Red Sox (16-22). The moneyline is set with Tampa Bay at +125 and Boston at -150. The total runs line is positioned at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this game are anticipated to be Drew Rasmussen and Payton Tolle.
The Rays have collectively hit 46 doubles and have smashed 31 home runs. Tampa Bay boasts a slugging percentage of .379 along with 257 strikeouts and 123 walks. As a unit, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 12th in the league. So far, they have amassed 157 RBIs and 319 hits this season, with a team batting average of .257. They have scored a total of 167 runs, marked by an OBP of .330.
The team’s K/BB ratio stands at 2.47, and the pitching staff features a WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have allowed 38 home runs and 148 total runs, ranking 6th in MLB. They have given up 275 hits (averaging 7.4 per 9 innings) and 131 earned runs, leading to a team earned run average of 3.54 (4th in baseball). The staff has struck out 287 batters while walking 116, resulting in a team FIP of 4.01 this season.
The Tampa Bay bullpen has a solid save rate of 80.0%, appearing in 51 save opportunities. They have racked up 16 saves while failing in 4 of their 20 chances. With 44 inherited runners this season, 29.5% have crossed home plate. The relievers have been called into high-pressure scenarios 42 times and stepped onto the mound with runners on 34 occasions. In total, 120 relief pitchers have been used this year, contributing to 31 holds (2nd in MLB).
This season, the Tampa Bay Rays have recorded 1,000 putouts with 299 assists and 26 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .980, ranking 29th in professional baseball. They have also completed 21 double plays and managed to convert 72.8% of balls in play into outs over their 3,000 innings, placing them 3rd in the league.
Drew Rasmussen (32-18 career record) holds a FIP of 2.86, having faced 1,987 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 400 hits (7.3 hits/9 innings) and issued 125 walks. His earned run average stands at 2.90 (conceding 160 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.058. Over 496 innings pitched, he has achieved 465 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Boston Red Sox have hit 27 home runs this season, plating 146 runs. They have 60 doubles, have walked 127 times, and scored 153 runs, achieving an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .237. Their slugging percentage is .353, with an average scoring of 4.03 runs per game (ranked 24th). They have struck out 323 times (11th in baseball) and recorded 302 base hits.
On the pitching front, the Boston staff has given up 164 runs, holding an ERA of 4.11 (153 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 46 home runs, allowing 4.40 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). With a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 4.41, the pitching staff’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.10 (301 strikeouts against 128 walks). They rank 20th in total hits allowed with 313.
So far this season, the Red Sox have faced 29 save situations, converting 18 holds and experiencing 4 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been involved in 11 save opportunities, successfully converting 7 into saves. With a 32.0% scoring rate for inherited runners from 50 opportunities, Red Sox relief pitchers have also participated in 32 high-leverage situations. Their save percentage stands at 63.6%, ranking 15th in the league. Boston has utilized 116 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Boston Red Sox have logged 30 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). They’ve achieved 347 assists, made 18 errors, and secured 1,006 putouts this season. Across 3,018 innings, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency rating of 70.3% (15th in professional baseball).
Payton Tolle (1-2 career record) has a 4.05 ERA and allows 6.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio sits at 3.00, having faced 141 batters to date. He has allowed 15 earned runs, maintains a WHIP of 1.171, and has a FIP of 4.0. Over his career, Tolle has permitted 25 hits and racked up 42 strikeouts across 33 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB showdown against the spread or the moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Tampa Bay (+125)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
