- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (-196) Miami (+162)
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On Friday, LoanDepot Park will host the Miami Marlins (28-34) as they face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (36-22). The moneyline for this contest sees the Rays favored at -196, with the Marlins at +162. The projected total runs for the game is set at 9. Pitchers Drew Rasmussen and Tyler Phillips are slated to take the mound.
The Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 10th in the league. They have scored 271 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage of .336. This season, the Rays have recorded 83 doubles and 50 home runs, totaling 257 RBIs with 504 hits. Their batting average is currently .258, with a slugging percentage of .388 and 421 strikeouts against 216 walks.
With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.46, the Rays’ pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. They’ve allowed 71 home runs and 261 runs total, which places them 12th in the league. Tampa Bay has given up 473 hits, averaging 8.1 per 9 innings, resulting in a team ERA of 3.97 (13th in the league). The pitching staff has amassed 445 strikeouts while issuing 181 walks, with a FIP of 4.28.
This season, Rays pitchers have faced opponents on base 53 times and have handled high-pressure situations 65 times. Their bullpen has recorded 43 holds, good for 5th in MLB, with a save percentage of 71.4%, converting 25 of 35 save chances but blowing 10. Of the 67 inherited runners, 26.9% have scored. A total of 189 relief pitchers have taken the hill for Tampa Bay this season.
Defensively, the Rays have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs, ranking 6th in professional baseball. They have tallied 1,572 putouts, 486 assists, and 40 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB) with 38 double plays.
Drew Rasmussen, holding a career record of 34-19, has a FIP of 2.90 and has faced 2,076 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 420 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 131 walks, with a lifetime ERA of 2.95 (170 earned runs). He has pitched 519 innings and struck out 483 batters, maintaining a career WHIP of 1.061.
The Miami Marlins are recording a team slugging percentage of .381, scoring 4.26 runs per game (19th in the league). For the year, they have 100 doubles, 264 runs, and 53 home runs, along with 252 RBIs. Miami has struck out 505 times and has 499 total hits, posting an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .243.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 4.00, allowing 471 hits, which ranks 7th in the league. They’ve given up 285 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.33 (262 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.60 (522 strikeouts to 218 walks) and they have surrendered 61 home runs, allowing 4.72 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).
Miami ranks 19th in save percentage at 59.1% and has utilized 194 relievers this year. Their bullpen has engaged in high-pressure situations 57 times, with 52 save opportunities, totaling 29 holds and 9 blown saves. Out of 22 save chances, they have secured 13 saves while 23.5% of inherited runners have scored from 68 opportunities.
In their 4,896 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.5%, placing 13th in professional baseball. They have secured 40 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in MLB), with 1,632 putouts, 496 assists, and 43 errors this season.
Tyler Phillips, with a career record of 6-3, boasts a 3.49 ERA and allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.26, having faced 638 batters in his MLB career. He has permitted 59 earned runs, compiling a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 3.4. Phillips has allowed 140 hits and has recorded 113 strikeouts in 152 innings pitched.
Which team will claim victory tonight in this MLB matchup, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Miami (+162)
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