- Game: Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- TV Coverage: MASN
- Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-160) Baltimore (+132)
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The Chicago Cubs (50-40) are heading to Oriole Park at Camden Yards this Tuesday to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (42-49). Chicago enters the game favored at -160, while Baltimore opens at +132. The total for over/under is set at 9 runs, with expected starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Shane Baz on the mound.
The Cubs have collectively hit 142 doubles and 112 home runs, achieving a slugging percentage of .409. They have struck out 762 times but have also drawn 397 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Cubs rank 5th in the MLB. With 424 RBI and 749 hits this season, their batting average stands at .244, while they have scored a total of 455 runs with a team on-base percentage of .338.
The Cubs’ K/BB ratio stands at 2.53, and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 137 home runs and given up 409 runs, ranking 18th in the league. The team has surrendered 738 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 388 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.36 (21st in MLB) with 705 strikeouts. Their pitching unit has issued 279 walks and has a FIP of 4.75 this year.
This season, the Cubs have dispatched 293 relievers, with the bullpen inheriting 132 runners—31.1% of whom have scored. They have achieved 29 holds, placing them last in that category, while the relief unit has entered 93 games with runners on base. With 66 save opportunities, they’ve converted 16 saves, resulting in a save rate of 51.6%.
Defensively, the Cubs have converted 71.9% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 3rd in MLB. Over 7,212 innings, they’ve tallied 2,404 putouts, 831 assists, and 36 errors, giving them a .989 fielding percentage (4th in the league) and 65 double plays.
Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has logged 1,121 innings, recording 1,082 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. With a career record of 63-78, Boyd’s FIP is 4.52 across 4,759 batters faced. His ERA stands at 4.59, with 572 earned runs allowed; he has a WHIP of 1.281 and has granted 346 walks while giving up 1,090 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings).
On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles possess a .319 on-base percentage and a .238 team batting average this year. They have struck out 832 times (4th in MLB) and collected 721 hits overall. The Orioles have hit 104 home runs this season, driving in 403 runs. Averaging 4.57 runs per game (14th in the league), they also have 140 doubles and have drawn 350 walks, resulting in 416 total runs.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.372 and a FIP of 4.21. Ranked 25th in total hits allowed in the league, they have given up 785 hits while yielding 444 runs and maintaining a 4.34 team ERA (389 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 2.26, with 723 strikeouts against 321 walks, having allowed 100 home runs and surrendering 4.96 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).
With a save rate of 66.7%, the Orioles have utilized 297 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has appeared 82 times in high leverage scenarios and 85 times with runners on base, compiling 51 holds while suffering 10 blown saves. In 30 save opportunities, they’ve notched 20 saves, with 117 inherited runners scoring at a percentage of 26.5%.
In 7,260 innings played, the Orioles’ defensive efficiency sits at 69.0% (25th in MLB). They have executed 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in the majors), accruing 774 assists, 54 errors, and 2,420 putouts throughout the season.
Shane Baz, holding a career record of 21-25, sports a 4.23 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.68, he has faced 1,630 batters, giving up 182 earned runs, earning a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 4.2. To date, he has allowed 347 hits while amassing 380 strikeouts in 387 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup on the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Back Chicago (-160)
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